Haka vs KTP: match statistics
Haka vs KTP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Haka played KTP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 27 June 2026. Venue: Tehtaan kenttä. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Haka: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. KTP: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Haka scores 1.82 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. KTP scores 1.45 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Haka 45%, KTP 36%. Over 2.5: Haka 45%, KTP 36%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
KTP has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.55. Haka: 12.1 shots per match, KTP: 16.3.
Match halves
Haka: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.27. KTP: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Haka: 76-90+ (6 goals). KTP: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Haka win (1) — hosts demonstrate clear home efficiency: on average 2.50 goals per match, 5.67 shots on target and a 19% conversion rate, with 0% of matches without scoring. KTP arrives in excellent form (4 wins in last 5, 2.4 points per match in that period) and shows impressive away defense: on average only 1.0 goals conceded and 67% clean sheets. However, xG indicates a balanced contest: Haka home xG 1.70 versus KTP away xG 1.78, and xG against 1.21 vs 1.16, suggesting similar quality of chances created. The hosts’ key advantage is higher efficiency (actual 2.50 goals vs xG 1.70) and a greater share of shots on target, while the visitors counter with consistency and away clean sheets, hence the forecast is cautiously in favor of Haka.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have relatively low season BTTS rates: Haka 40% and KTP 33%, versus a league BTTS average of 38%, indicating matches in this league less often finish Goal/Goal. A strong signal against BTTS is the high incidence of clean sheets — KTP away has 67% clean sheets, and league-wide 71% of matches end with a clean sheet for one side. Haka at home scores 1.8 goals on average with xG 1.93 and 6.2 shots on target, while conceding only 0.8 goals per game; KTP posts xG 1.78 and 4.33 shots on target per game, making them offensively slightly weaker than the hosts. In the last 5 matches KTP scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) with last5 xG 1.99, and Haka in the same period scored 7 and conceded 7 with last5 xG against of 1.53, which introduces some risk of an away goal but does not negate the defensive signal. Considering the low seasonal BTTS (40% and 33%), high clean sheet percentages (67% for the away side and 71% league-wide) and moderate xG for both teams, No Goal is more likely — I recommend a 70% 'No' / 30% 'Yes' split.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast based on xG and seasonal averages gives 1.55 expected goals for Haka (xG Haka 1.93 vs xG against KTP 1.16) and 1.43 for KTP (xG KTP 1.78 vs xG against Haka 1.07), totalling 2.98 expected goals. With a total expected score of 2.98 the Poisson model indicates roughly an 80% probability of more than 1.5 goals and about a 57% probability of Over 2.5 goals, which favors the Over 1.5 bet. Additionally, Haka scores on average 1.8 goals per match and has 100% of games with at least one goal, while KTP has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches and has an average xG of 1.99, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides. Counterarguments are significant: KTP has 67% clean sheets this season, and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is only 40% for Haka and 33% for KTP, so very high totals are less likely (I estimate Over 3.5 at around 35%). As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over at the 1.5 line) with expected goals of 1.55 for Haka and 1.43 for KTP.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Haka is stronger in attack at home: they average 1.8 goals per match versus KTP's 1.17 and have higher xG (1.93 vs 1.78), more shots on target (6.2 vs 4.33) and better conversion rate (11% vs 7%). At Half-Time a draw is most common – Haka led at the break in 40% of matches, KTP only in 17%, while KTP were level at the break in 67% of games with an average HT goals around 1.0 (0.6 vs 0.5). After the break the hosts more frequently decide matches in their favor: Haka score on average 1.2 goals in the second half and have goals after the break in 80% of matches, compared to 0.67 goals and 67% for KTP. Considering Haka’s 80% home win rate and HTPPG of 1.6 versus KTP’s 1.17, the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a Haka win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Haka | KTP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haka is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Haka · 1.45 goals / match - KTP
Haka scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
KTP scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Haka keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haka
Over / Under - KTP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KTP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Haka
KTP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| Haka | Liga | KTP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.30 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 35% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Haka 1 - 1 - 2 KTP. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Haka vs KTP?
The Ykkösliiga match finished Haka 0:2 KTP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Haka and KTP?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Haka won 1, KTP won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Haka vs KTP?
Haka score 1.82 goals per game on average and KTP 1.45. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Haka's matches and 36% of KTP's.
What form are Haka and KTP in?
Over the last 5 games Haka have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and KTP 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haka vs KTP?
The statistical background for Haka vs KTP — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.