Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT: match statistics
As the league leaders, Inverness CT are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches compared to Hamilton Academical's 2.0. The visitors are undefeated in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while the hosts have suffered a defeat in that period. Inverness CT have a much better goal difference this season (42:15) than Hamilton (37:23), and also a higher clean sheet rate away from home (58% vs the hosts' 60% at home). Hamilton demonstrate solid home form with a 70% win rate, making this a closely contested fixture, but the leaders' quality and current form point towards an away win. The average xG confirms Inverness' slight advantage (1.41 vs 1.34), suggesting their effectiveness in creating goal-scoring opportunities even on the road.
Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 1.68 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.83 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 41%, Inverness CT 35%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 59%, Inverness CT 48%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.32. Hamilton Academical: 9.8 shots per match, Inverness CT: 14.1.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.91. Inverness CT: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (7 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leaders, Inverness CT are showing significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches compared to Hamilton Academical's 2.0. The visitors are undefeated in their last five games (4 wins, 1 draw), while the hosts have suffered a defeat in that period. Inverness CT have a much better goal difference this season (42:15) than Hamilton (37:23), and also a higher clean sheet rate away from home (58% vs the hosts' 60% at home). Hamilton demonstrate solid home form with a 70% win rate, making this a closely contested fixture, but the leaders' quality and current form point towards an away win. The average xG confirms Inverness' slight advantage (1.41 vs 1.34), suggesting their effectiveness in creating goal-scoring opportunities even on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.83 goals / match - Inverness CT
Inverness CT is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.65 goals / match - Inverness CT
Hamilton Academical scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 61% (14 of 23 matches).
Inverness CT scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.74 pts / match - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 30% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hamilton Academical 1 - 0 - 1 Inverness CT. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 0:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Inverness CT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Inverness CT won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
Hamilton Academical score 1.68 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.83. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 35% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Inverness CT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.