Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South: match statistics
Hamilton Academical shows solid home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet record at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per home game while conceding only 0.64, giving them a positive goal difference of +10 in home fixtures. Queen of the South is going through a clear slump in form, picking up just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory in this period. The visitors have a poor away win rate (31%) and concede an average of 1.46 goals per away game, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -3, puts them in a difficult situation. Queen of the South's possession advantage (51%) does not translate into efficiency, as evidenced by a lower xG (1.17) compared to Hamilton (1.29 xG in home matches). Taking all these factors into account, Hamilton Academical holds a distinct advantage, although the visitors' form makes a draw scenario the second most likely option.
Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical played Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Queen of the South: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 1.50 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.50 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 36%, Queen of the South 50%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 54%, Queen of the South 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Hamilton Academical: 9.9 shots per match, Queen of the South: 11.0.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.82. Queen of the South: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (8 goals). Queen of the South: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical shows solid home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet record at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals per home game while conceding only 0.64, giving them a positive goal difference of +10 in home fixtures. Queen of the South is going through a clear slump in form, picking up just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches without a single victory in this period. The visitors have a poor away win rate (31%) and concede an average of 1.46 goals per away game, which, combined with a negative goal difference of -3, puts them in a difficult situation. Queen of the South's possession advantage (51%) does not translate into efficiency, as evidenced by a lower xG (1.17) compared to Hamilton (1.29 xG in home matches). Taking all these factors into account, Hamilton Academical holds a distinct advantage, although the visitors' form makes a draw scenario the second most likely option.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.4 pts / match - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.32 goals / match - Queen of the South
Hamilton Academical scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
Queen of the South scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.32 pts / match - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hamilton Academical 1 - 0 - 2 Queen of the South. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 1:3 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Queen of the South?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Queen of the South won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
Hamilton Academical score 1.50 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.50. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 50% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Queen of the South 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
The statistical background for Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.