Hartberg vs Austria Wien: match statistics

Both teams began the season with two defeats and have yet to score in their respective home and away matches, so the risk of a draw remains significant. However, Austria Wien have shown the better trend over their last five matches: they won 3 games, scored 10 goals and conceded 7, while Hartberg have a record of 2 victories, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. The visitors create slightly more attacking quality away from home, with an xG of 0.79 compared with Hartberg’s 0.75, while their defence also allows opponents a significantly lower xG: 1.05 versus 2.10 for the hosts. Hartberg average just 6 shots and 2 on target at home, and having failed to score in 100% of their home matches so far, they may struggle to exploit their opponents’ weaknesses. Austria Wien have also conceded an average of 3 goals away from home, but their higher efficiency in recent weeks and more favourable defensive numbers support a narrow victory for the visitors.

Recent form points to a moderate edge for the both-teams-to-score scenario: Hartberg recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Austria Vienna did so in 40%. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, whereas the visitors scored 2.0 goals per game and conceded 1.4. Hartberg’s defensive weakness is particularly significant, with average xG conceded standing at 2.64, clearly higher than Austria Vienna’s 1.43. However, Austria Vienna’s attacking xG is 1.33, compared with Hartberg’s 0.96, meaning both sides create enough chances to increase the likelihood of scoring at either end. Although data from the very small seasonal sample shows 100% of matches without a goal scored for both teams, the current five-match scoring averages provide a slightly stronger signal for BTTS - Yes.

In their last five matches, Hartberg averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Austria Wien scored 2.0 goals per game and conceded 1.4. Both teams averaged 3.4 total goals in their respective last five appearances, with matches featuring at least three goals accounting for 60% and 80% of those samples, respectively. Particularly significant is Hartberg’s defensive weakness, with the average xG conceded to opponents as high as 2.64—well above the 1.33 xG Austria Wien have been creating recently. At the same time, the hosts can take advantage of the fact that Austria Wien conceded 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, making Hartberg’s projected total of 1.35 goals realistic. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of both teams’ current scoring form clearly increases the likelihood of at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Austria Vienna win at full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches. During this period, Hartberg averaged 1.0 goal before the break, while Austria averaged 0.8, suggesting an evenly balanced opening with neither side showing a clear advantage. After the break, however, Austria look stronger: they won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, scored an average of 1.2 goals in those periods and recorded a positive goal difference of +2, whereas Hartberg managed just a 20% second-half win rate. The visitors also won 60% of their last five matches compared with Hartberg’s 40%, while their average of 2.0 goals scored per match exceeds the hosts’ 1.6.