Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a very tight clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Hatayspor is showing catastrophic form with a zero win record this season and the worst position in the league (19th place), making them a clear underdog. Ümraniyespor, despite a poor position (17th place), shows much better form, earning 9 points in the last 5 matches and recording 3 wins. A key factor pointing towards a draw is the visitors' dismal away record (70% losses, only 20% wins) and Hatayspor's high percentage of draws at home (40%). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting for survival and the low efficiency of both teams (Hatayspor 0.8 goals/match at home, Ümraniyespor 0.5 goals/match away), a low-scoring draw seems the most likely scenario. A slight advantage for the hosts stems from the need for points in the fight for survival, although the quality of both teams is comparable.
Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hatayspor played Ümraniyespor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Hatayspor: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ümraniyespor: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hatayspor scores 0.86 and concedes 2.71 goals per match. Ümraniyespor scores 1.19 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hatayspor 62%, Ümraniyespor 38%. Over 2.5: Hatayspor 76%, Ümraniyespor 43%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Ümraniyespor has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.95. Hatayspor: 8.8 shots per match, Ümraniyespor: 9.5.
Match halves
Hatayspor: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.38. Ümraniyespor: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Hatayspor: 0-15 (5 goals). Ümraniyespor: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a very tight clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Hatayspor is showing catastrophic form with a zero win record this season and the worst position in the league (19th place), making them a clear underdog. Ümraniyespor, despite a poor position (17th place), shows much better form, earning 9 points in the last 5 matches and recording 3 wins. A key factor pointing towards a draw is the visitors' dismal away record (70% losses, only 20% wins) and Hatayspor's high percentage of draws at home (40%). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting for survival and the low efficiency of both teams (Hatayspor 0.8 goals/match at home, Ümraniyespor 0.5 goals/match away), a low-scoring draw seems the most likely scenario. A slight advantage for the hosts stems from the need for points in the fight for survival, although the quality of both teams is comparable.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hatayspor | Ümraniyespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ümraniyespor is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Hatayspor · 1.8 pts / match - Ümraniyespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ümraniyespor is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Hatayspor · 1.19 goals / match - Ümraniyespor
Ümraniyespor is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.71 goals / match - Hatayspor · 1.43 goals / match - Ümraniyespor
Hatayspor scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Ümraniyespor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Ümraniyespor scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Hatayspor keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hatayspor
Over / Under - Ümraniyespor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ümraniyespor is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Hatayspor · 1.14 pts / match - Ümraniyespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hatayspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ümraniyespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hatayspor
Ümraniyespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Hatayspor | Liga | Ümraniyespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.57 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hatayspor 0 - 1 - 0 Ümraniyespor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor?
The 1. Lig match finished Hatayspor 0:2 Ümraniyespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Hatayspor score 0.86 goals per game on average and Ümraniyespor 1.19. The 1. Lig average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Hatayspor's matches and 38% of Ümraniyespor's.
What form are Hatayspor and Ümraniyespor in?
Over the last 5 games Hatayspor have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ümraniyespor 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hatayspor vs Ümraniyespor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


