Haugesund vs Stabæk: match statistics

Haugesund have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 3, while Stabæk have lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Home advantage is clear: the hosts have won 82% of their home matches, while the visitors have won 42% of their away games. Haugesund average 3.18 goals per game at home, with an xG of 2.13, whereas Stabæk score an average of 2 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.90. The hosts also record more shots on target at home than the visitors do away — 7.91 compared to 5.58 per game — and are more clinical in front of goal, converting 18% of their shots compared to 13%. Although Stabæk concede an average of just 1.25 goals away from home, their recent defensive record and the attacking form of the league leaders point to a Haugesund win.

Haugesund average 3.0 goals at home, while Stabæk average 2.0 away, providing a solid basis for both teams to score. This is supported by average xG figures of 2.01 and 1.90, respectively, and by the fact that the hosts have scored in every home match, while the visitors have failed to score in 17% of their away games. In their last five matches, Stabæk have seen both teams score in 80% of cases, although the figure for Haugesund was only 40%. The BTTS - Yes selection carries some risk because of the hosts’ strong defence, which conceded an average of just 0.6 goals over this period. However, the visitors’ attacking potential makes a Stabæk goal more likely than a failure to score.

Haugesund average 3.0 goals per match, while Stabæk average 2.0; at least two goals were scored in 100% and 83% of their matches, respectively. The hosts have won their last five matches, scoring 16 goals, while the visitors conceded 10 over the same period. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.01 for Haugesund and 1.90 for Stabæk, although the hosts’ improved recent defensive form limits the forecast for the visitors’ goal tally. Over 1.5 goals has the strongest statistical backing: it is less reliant on clinical finishing than the 2.5 line, which was surpassed in 82% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ matches.

Haugesund have won their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals, while Stabæk have lost four of their last five and conceded an average of 2.0 goals. The hosts had a lead at the break in three of those five matches, while the visitors failed to score before half-time in three games over the same period. Haugesund’s first-half advantage is reflected in their average of 1.45 goals scored, compared with 0.75 for Stabæk. The hosts also look stronger after the break: across their last five matches, they scored an average of 1.8 second-half goals and conceded none, whereas the visitors conceded an average of 1.2 goals after half-time. Therefore, Haugesund leading at half-time and holding on to that lead is the most likely HT/FT scenario, although a draw at the break remains a significant alternative, as Stabæk reached half-time without conceding in 67% of their matches.