Stabæk vs Haugesund: match statistics
Stabæk vs Haugesund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stabæk played Haugesund in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Stabæk: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Haugesund: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stabæk scores 2.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Haugesund scores 3.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stabæk 67%, Haugesund 67%. Over 2.5: Stabæk 100%, Haugesund 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 80%.
xG, shots and style
Stabæk has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.83. Stabæk: 17.3 shots per match, Haugesund: 15.3.
Match halves
Stabæk: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Haugesund: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.
Goals by minute
Stabæk: 31-45+ (2 goals). Haugesund: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 80%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Haugesund holds the advantage in recent form and efficiency — they sit 2nd, have won 3 matches this season and scored 11 goals in the last 5 fixtures, whereas Stabæk has 1 win this season and 8 goals in the last 5. Over the past 5 matches Haugesund averages 1.8 points per game, Stabæk only 0.8, translating to a 3 wins vs. 1 home win balance in that period. At home Stabæk attempts significantly more shots (23 per game) with xG 2.32 and an average of 4 goals scored per game, but Haugesund is more efficient — 15.5 shots, 7 on target and a 19% conversion rate with an average of 3 goals away and xG 1.86. Defenses of both teams are vulnerable: Stabæk conceded 12 goals in the last 5, Haugesund 13, with average xG against of 1.24 vs. 1.08, so I expect an open match with goals. Due to better points form and higher shooting efficiency I favor the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stabæk has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets, while Haugesund shows BTTS 50% and 50% clean sheets, preliminarily favoring a BTTS - Yes scenario (100% vs 50%). In the last 5 matches both teams registered BTTS at 60%, with Stabæk conceding on average 2.4 goals (12 in 5) and Haugesund conceding 2.6 goals (13 in 5), indicating defensive issues. In terms of quality of chances Stabæk generates 1.76 xG but concedes 2.09 xG, whereas Haugesund posts 1.86 xG and 1.08 xG against, so both sides create and allow genuine opportunities. Additionally Stabæk averages 8 shots on target from 15 total shots and has a conversion rate of 27% versus 19% for the visitors, and the league records a seasonal BTTS of 55% with an average of 3.82 goals per game, further supporting the BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Stabæk has xG_for 1.76 and xG_against 2.09, while Haugesund has xG_for 1.86 and xG_against 1.08; averaging one team’s attack and the other’s defense yields expected goals of 1.42 for Stabæk and 1.98 for Haugesund, totaling 3.40 goals. From a Poisson model with mu=3.40, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 85%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 66%, and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) about 44%. Historical indicators confirm a high share of goal-heavy matches: Stabæk has 100% season matches over 1.5 and 2.5, Haugesund has 100% over 1.5 and 50% over 2.5, and in Haugesund’s last 5 matches 80% were over 2.5. Considering the Poisson model and these statistics I set final probabilities at 93% for Over 1.5 and 74% for Over 2.5; Over 3.5 remains less likely (44%), so the strongest signal from the data is a play on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics favor the visitors: Haugesund average 1.5 goals at the break versus 0.0 for Stabæk, and the visitors’ share of leads at the break is 100% compared to 0% for the home side, which strongly suggests the visitors are frequently leading after 45 minutes. After the break, however, Stabæk dominate — the home side’s average goals in the second half are 4.0 versus 1.5 for the visitors, and the percentage of second-half wins for the hosts is 100% against 60% for Haugesund, indicating a strong Stabæk ability to mount a turnaround. The full match shows similar xG (1.76 for Stabæk vs 1.86 for Haugesund), but Stabæk convert chances more efficiently (27% vs 19%) and have more shots on target (8 vs 7), which increases the likelihood of a breakthrough after the break. On this basis the most probable scenario is the visitors leading at the break and the hosts winning at full-time (2/1), so I assign the highest probability to that outcome, with significant alternatives being 2/2 and X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stabæk | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Haugesund is 126% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Stabæk · 3 pts / match - Haugesund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haugesund is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - Stabæk · 3.33 goals / match - Haugesund
Stabæk scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Haugesund keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Haugesund scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stabæk
Over / Under - Haugesund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Haugesund is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Stabæk · 2.33 pts / match - Haugesund
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Haugesund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stabæk
Haugesund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Stabæk | Liga | Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.67 | 3.72 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Stabæk vs Haugesund?
The First Division match finished Stabæk 3:2 Haugesund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stabæk vs Haugesund?
Stabæk score 2.33 goals per game on average and Haugesund 3.33. The First Division average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stabæk's matches and 67% of Haugesund's.
What form are Stabæk and Haugesund in?
Over the last 5 games Stabæk have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Haugesund 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stabæk vs Haugesund?
The statistical background for Stabæk vs Haugesund — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.