HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad: match statistics
HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play Aarhus Fremad in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Aarhus Fremad: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Aarhus Fremad scores 1.63 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 56%, Aarhus Fremad 50%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 53%, Aarhus Fremad 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.40. HB Køge: 12.4 shots per match, Aarhus Fremad: 14.4.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 31-45+ (10 goals). Aarhus Fremad: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Aarhus Fremad are the favorites in this fixture due to clearly superior form and game control: in the last 5 matches the visitors averaged 1.6 points per game (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while HB Køge have only 0.4 points per game (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). This season Aarhus have scored 32 goals and conceded 27, whereas HB Køge have 26 goals and 41 conceded, indicating a defensive advantage for the visitors relative to the hosts. The visitors create better quality chances: Aarhus’s average xG is 1.73 versus 1.48 for HB Køge, they have more shots on target (5.45 vs 4.18) and higher possession (57% vs 43%). In the last 5 matches Aarhus scored 6 and conceded 3, while HB Køge scored 5 and conceded 9, translating into a significant points and defensive differential. Although the hosts have a slightly higher conversion rate (8% vs 7%) and 36% home win rate compared to Aarhus’s 18% away win rate, the advantage in xG, shots on target and form leads me to forecast a victory for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarhus Fremad is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 2.2 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.63 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.16 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad
HB Køge scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Aarhus Fremad scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HB Køge
Over / Under — Aarhus Fremad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Aarhus Fremad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.80 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HB Køge 1 - 2 - 0 Aarhus Fremad. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad?
The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 2:0 Aarhus Fremad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and Aarhus Fremad?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 1, Aarhus Fremad won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad?
HB Køge score 1.31 goals per game on average and Aarhus Fremad 1.63. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of HB Køge's matches and 50% of Aarhus Fremad's.
What form are HB Køge and Aarhus Fremad in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aarhus Fremad 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.