HB Køge vs Esbjerg: match statistics
Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.
HB Køge vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge played Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
HB Køge: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Esbjerg: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.21 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Esbjerg scores 1.47 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 68%, Esbjerg 53%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 63%, Esbjerg 47%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.29. HB Køge: 11.7 shots per match, Esbjerg: 13.0.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79. Esbjerg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 76-90+ (7 goals). Esbjerg: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esbjerg is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - HB Køge · 2.4 pts / match - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.47 goals / match - Esbjerg
Esbjerg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.37 goals / match - Esbjerg
HB Køge scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Esbjerg scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HB Køge
Over / Under - Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.82 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: HB Køge 0 - 0 - 1 Esbjerg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 0:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
HB Køge score 1.21 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.47. The 1st Division average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 68% of HB Køge's matches and 53% of Esbjerg's.
What form are HB Køge and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Esbjerg 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
The statistical background for HB Køge vs Esbjerg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.