HB Køge vs Esbjerg: match statistics
Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.
HB Køge vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 6 March 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Esbjerg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Esbjerg scores 1.41 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 56%, Esbjerg 53%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 53%, Esbjerg 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.40. HB Køge: 12.4 shots per match, Esbjerg: 13.6.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Esbjerg: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 31-45+ (10 goals). Esbjerg: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Esbjerg appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 10 wins this season, while HB Køge sits in 11th position with just 5 victories. A key factor is Esbjerg's advantage in possession (50% vs 42%) and better shooting efficiency (10% vs 8%). HB Køge has poor home form with 44% losses and only 44% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.11 goals per match. Although Esbjerg has a 56% loss rate away, their offensive potential (28 goals this season) and lack of draws in away matches (0%) suggest they will push for a win. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.2 PPG), however, the squad quality and league position speak in favor of the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esbjerg is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 2 pts / match - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.41 goals / match - Esbjerg
Esbjerg is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.34 goals / match - Esbjerg
HB Køge scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Esbjerg scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HB Køge
Over / Under — Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esbjerg is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.31 pts / match - Esbjerg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.80 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: HB Køge 0 - 0 - 1 Esbjerg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 0:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
HB Køge score 1.31 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.41. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of HB Køge's matches and 53% of Esbjerg's.
What form are HB Køge and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Esbjerg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Esbjerg?
The statistical background for HB Køge vs Esbjerg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.