HB Køge vs Hobro: match statistics
HB Køge vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HB Køge play Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
HB Køge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hobro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
HB Køge scores 1.31 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HB Køge 56%, Hobro 44%. Over 2.5: HB Køge 53%, Hobro 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Hobro has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.40. HB Køge: 12.4 shots per match, Hobro: 12.1.
Match halves
HB Køge: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.78. Hobro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
HB Køge: 31-45+ (10 goals). Hobro: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back an HB Køge win: the hosts are clearly in better form in recent weeks—over the last five matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, while Hobro have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point per game. The hosts scored 10 goals in their last five fixtures versus the visitors’ 6 and conceded only 4 compared to Hobro’s 9, indicating a form and defensive advantage for HB Køge. Seasonally HB Køge have 42 goals for and 46 against, Hobro 36 for and 41 against; average xG favors the hosts (HB Køge avg xG 1.59 vs 1.38 for Hobro), suggesting the hosts create higher-quality chances more often. Additionally, HB Køge averages 14.2 shots per home match versus Hobro’s 11.67 shots away and records 4.8 shots on target vs 4.67 for Hobro, although Hobro have a higher shooting conversion (12% vs 9%), this edge is mitigated by their lower volume of attempts. Considering these metrics I give the hosts the greater probability, though a draw or an away win cannot be ruled out given Hobro’s 40% clean sheet rate on the road.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HB Køge · 1.6 pts / match - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.25 goals / match - Hobro
Hobro is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - HB Køge · 1.34 goals / match - Hobro
HB Køge scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Hobro scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HB Køge
Over / Under — Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HB Køge
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.81 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HB Køge 2 - 1 - 0 Hobro. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HB Køge vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished HB Køge 0:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and Hobro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 2, Hobro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs Hobro?
HB Køge score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.25. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of HB Køge's matches and 44% of Hobro's.
What form are HB Køge and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hobro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs Hobro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HB Køge vs Hobro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.