Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United: match statistics
Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hebei Kungfu played Dongguan United in China League One (China). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hebei Kungfu: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Dongguan United: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hebei Kungfu scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dongguan United scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hebei Kungfu 33%, Dongguan United 33%. Over 2.5: Hebei Kungfu 33%, Dongguan United 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Dongguan United has higher xG: 1.31 vs 0.94. Hebei Kungfu: 7.3 shots per match, Dongguan United: 10.7.
Match halves
Hebei Kungfu: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Dongguan United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Hebei Kungfu: 31-45+ (1 goals). Dongguan United: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hebei Kungfu holds a clear advantage in the numbers: at home they have won 100% of matches, score on average 1.00 goal per game and concede 0.00, with a home conversion rate of 50%. Dongguan United have yet to score on the road (0.00 avg), concede 2.00 goals per away game and have 100% away losses and 100% of away matches without a goal. In the last 5 matches the hosts are 1-2-2 with 4 goals for and 5 against, while the visitors have not won any of their last 5 (0-1-4) and conceded 11 goals in that span. In terms of quality of chances, home xG is 0.57 with xG against 1.14, while the visitors’ away xG for is 0.93 with 1.83 xG against; however the visitors fail to convert chances (away conversion rate 0%), whereas the hosts convert half of their opportunities. On this basis I assign higher probability to the hosts, with a small chance of a draw and a low probability of an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis favors a 'no' outcome for BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal) because Dongguan United effectively do not score: season away scoring average 0.0, and 2 goals in the last 5 matches (0.4 per game). Hebei Kungfu shows superior chance creation versus opponents - offensive xG 1.51 vs 0.93, 5.0 shots on target vs 1.0 and 13.0 shots on average vs 6.0 - indicating the home side will be the primary source of goals. Both teams concede a lot seasonally (2.0 goals each), but Dongguan has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per game) while maintaining very low scoring output, which favors 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines. BTTS metrics confirm this asymmetry: Hebei recorded BTTS in 50% of season matches, Dongguan in 0%, league average 43%, so the signal is toward No Goal/clean sheet expected for one side. I assess BTTS probability at 30% and No BTTS at 70% — recommend 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, expected goals are 1.67 for Hebei (attacking xG 1.51 and average xG conceded to Dongguan 1.83) and 0.94 for Dongguan (attacking xG 0.93 and xG conceded to Hebei 0.95), totaling 2.61 goals. With this value, a Poisson distribution yields roughly a 73% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 48% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and around 27% for over 3.5 goals. Additionally, Hebei creates significantly more chances: on average 13 shots and 5 shots on target with a conversion of ~8%, while Dongguan averages 6 shots, 1 on target and 0% conversion, which increases the likelihood of the hosts scoring. Seasonal indicators also support a moderately high-scoring game — Hebei have 50% of matches over 2.5 goals, Dongguan have 100% of matches over 1.5, while the league average is 2.22 goals per game. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with the home team winning at full-time (X/1), because the hosts generate a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.51 vs 0.93, 13 shots vs 6 and 5.0 shots on target vs 1.0 for the visitors. The home side averages 1.0 goal in the second half (scored_2hg_avg_home = 1.0) while the away side averages 0.0, and the hosts have scored 2.0 goals in minutes 76–90, indicating strength after the break. A draw at the break is realistic — in the last 5 home matches HT draws occurred in 60.0% of cases, whereas the visitors led at half-time in 0.0% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, the home defence performs better in expected goals against (xg_against_avg_home = 0.95 vs xg_against_avg_away = 1.83), and the away team has only 1.0 shots on target and a conversion rate of 0.0%, which limits their chances of a turnaround after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hebei Kungfu | Dongguan United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hebei Kungfu is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hebei Kungfu · 2 goals / match - Dongguan United
Hebei Kungfu scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Dongguan United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Dongguan United scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Hebei Kungfu keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hebei Kungfu
Over / Under - Dongguan United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hebei Kungfu is 406% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Hebei Kungfu · 0.33 pts / match - Dongguan United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hebei Kungfu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dongguan United - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hebei Kungfu
Dongguan United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Hebei Kungfu | Liga | Dongguan United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.24 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hebei Kungfu 0 - 2 - 0 Dongguan United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United?
The China League One match finished Hebei Kungfu 0:1 Dongguan United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hebei Kungfu and Dongguan United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hebei Kungfu won 0, Dongguan United won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United?
Hebei Kungfu score 0.67 goals per game on average and Dongguan United 0.67. The China League One average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Hebei Kungfu's matches and 33% of Dongguan United's.
What form are Hebei Kungfu and Dongguan United in?
Over the last 5 games Hebei Kungfu have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dongguan United 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United?
The statistical background for Hebei Kungfu vs Dongguan United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.