Heerenveen vs AZ: match statistics
Heerenveen vs AZ: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heerenveen played AZ in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Heerenveen: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. AZ: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heerenveen scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. AZ scores 3.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 4.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heerenveen 50%, AZ 50%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 50%, AZ 50%. League level: BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 84%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 2.41 vs 1.54. Heerenveen: 12.8 shots per match, AZ: 20.8.
Match halves
Heerenveen: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. AZ: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.50.
Goals by minute
Heerenveen: 76-90+ (2 goals). AZ: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 4.00 goals per match, BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 84%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AZ are enjoying an outstanding run of five consecutive victories, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 3, while Heerenveen have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last five matches. The visitors sit top of the table with a perfect record of 4 wins, whereas the hosts have won just 1 of their 4 league fixtures so far. Away from home, AZ average 3 goals per match, create chances worth 2.94 xG and limit opponents to just 0.74 xG, clearly outperforming Heerenveen’s home figures of 0.5 goals and 1.45 xG. Heerenveen keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, but also concede an average of 1 goal from as much as 1.98 xG against, while AZ average 10 shots on target away from home. The visitors’ greater control of the game will also be crucial: their average possession stands at 62% compared with 55% for the hosts, making an AZ victory the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is slightly more likely, as Heerenveen conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while AZ scored as many as 3.4 goals per game during that period. AZ creates plenty of chances: their average xG stands at 2.45 across their last five appearances, with 10 shots on target per match over the course of the season. The hosts also have a case for scoring, with an average xG of 1.57 in their last five matches, while AZ allowed opponents 1.02 xG per game. However, the signal is not conclusive, as AZ kept a clean sheet in 50% of their league matches and conceded just 3 goals in their last five games. Despite this solid defensive record, the league BTTS average is as high as 76%, and Heerenveen have scored in every match this season, so the Both Teams To Score option has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
AZ have averaged 3.4 goals scored over their last five matches, with a very high average xG of 2.45, while Heerenveen have conceded 1.8 goals over the same period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.97. The visitors create an exceptionally high number of chances, averaging 25 shots, including 10 on target, compared with Heerenveen’s 16.5 shots and 6 on target. Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches to date, while the league-wide average stands at as many as 4.03 goals per game. The Over 1.5 line is best supported by the data, as AZ’s projected total alone stands at 2.2 goals, while the hosts have averaged 1.57 xG in their last five appearances. The higher 2.5 line also shows value, but AZ’s solid defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game recently, increases the risk of the match finishing with exactly two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AZ are in significantly better form: they have won their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Heerenveen have won only 1 of their last 5 fixtures and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals. The visitors create considerably more chances, as reflected by their average xG of 2.94 compared with 1.87 and 10 shots on target per match compared with 6 for the hosts. Before the break, Heerenveen had been level at half-time in 80% of their last five appearances and scored just 0.2 goals, making a draw after 45 minutes the most likely outcome. AZ led at the break in 60% of their recent matches, but the hosts' solid first-half performances, during which they kept a clean sheet in 80% of those games, increase the likelihood of the draw HT/FT scenario. After the interval, AZ's superiority should become more evident, as the visitors score an average of 2.6 goals in the second halves, while Heerenveen concede 1.4.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heerenveen | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AZ is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Heerenveen · 3 pts / match - AZ
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 160% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Heerenveen · 3.25 goals / match - AZ
AZ is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Heerenveen · 0.75 goals / match - AZ
Heerenveen scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
AZ scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heerenveen
Over / Under - AZ
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 167% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Heerenveen · 2 pts / match - AZ
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heerenveen - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heerenveen
AZ
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heerenveen | Liga | AZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 4.00 | • 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 84% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 12% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 82% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 95% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Heerenveen 1 - 0 - 1 AZ. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heerenveen vs AZ?
The Eredivisie match finished Heerenveen 2:3 AZ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and AZ?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1, AZ won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs AZ?
Heerenveen score 1.25 goals per game on average and AZ 3.25. The Eredivisie average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 84% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Heerenveen's matches and 50% of AZ's.
What form are Heerenveen and AZ in?
Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and AZ 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs AZ?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.