Netherlands - EredivisieAbe Lenstra StadionData current as of 03 September 2026

Heerenveen vs AZ: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Heerenveen vs AZ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Heerenveen play AZ in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 6 September 2026. Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Current form

Heerenveen: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. AZ: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Heerenveen scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. AZ scores 3.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 4.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Heerenveen 50%, AZ 50%. Over 2.5: Heerenveen 50%, AZ 50%. League level: BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 82%.

xG, shots and style

AZ has higher xG: 2.41 vs 1.54. Heerenveen: 12.8 shots per match, AZ: 20.8.

Match halves

Heerenveen: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. AZ: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.50.

Goals by minute

Heerenveen: 76-90+ (2 goals). AZ: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 4.03 goals per match, BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 82%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.90)
(4.20)
(1.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match3.25
HeerenveenAZ
1.5Goals conceded / match0.75
HeerenveenAZ
54%Average possession58%
HeerenveenAZ
5.25Shots on target / match8
HeerenveenAZ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.75Shots per match20.75
HeerenveenAZ
5.25Shots on target8
HeerenveenAZ
9.8%Shot conversion15.7%
HeerenveenAZ
54%Possession58%
HeerenveenAZ
1.54xG for2.41
HeerenveenAZ
1.89xG against0.87
HeerenveenAZ

Shooting quality

Heerenveen: BalancedAZ: Dominant
HeerenveenAZ
Accuracy (shots on target)41%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AZ is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1.25 pts / match - Heerenveen · 3 pts / match - AZ

Heerenveen
WDLD
Season result split
25% W50% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
AZ
WWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.3Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.41Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AZ is 160% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Heerenveen · 3.25 goals / match - AZ

AZ is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Heerenveen · 0.75 goals / match - AZ

Heerenveen scoring profile: strong

Heerenveen scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

AZ scoring profile: very strong

AZ scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

5Goals scored (season)13
HeerenveenAZ
6Goals conceded (season)3
HeerenveenAZ
2.75Average goals in match4
HeerenveenAZ
5Goals scored (last 5)13
HeerenveenAZ
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
HeerenveenAZ

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
HeerenveenAZ
50%2 goals100%
HeerenveenAZ
0%3 goals50%
HeerenveenAZ
0%4 goals50%
HeerenveenAZ

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
HeerenveenAZ
75%2 goals25%
HeerenveenAZ
0%3 goals0%
HeerenveenAZ
0%4 goals0%
HeerenveenAZ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
HeerenveenAZ
0%BTTS in both halves25%
HeerenveenAZ
25%Scored in both halves50%
HeerenveenAZ

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
HeerenveenAZ
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HeerenveenAZ
50%BTTS - last 550%
HeerenveenAZ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

25%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
HeerenveenAZ
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
HeerenveenAZ
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
HeerenveenAZ

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
HeerenveenAZ
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
HeerenveenAZ
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
HeerenveenAZ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AZ is 167% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Heerenveen · 2 pts / match - AZ

Heerenveen - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing
AZ - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)2
HeerenveenAZ
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.75
HeerenveenAZ
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
HeerenveenAZ
0.75Average goals (1st half)1
HeerenveenAZ
75%Clean sheet before half-time75%
HeerenveenAZ
75%No goal before half-time50%
HeerenveenAZ

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)3
HeerenveenAZ
1Goals scored (2nd half)2.5
HeerenveenAZ
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
HeerenveenAZ
2Average goals (2nd half)3
HeerenveenAZ
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
HeerenveenAZ
25%No goal after half-time0%
HeerenveenAZ

Heerenveen - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

AZ - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Heerenveen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.751.75
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.51.0
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal25%100%
2 goals25%50%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal75%25%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 75% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 1
AZ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.003.00
Goals scored / match0.82.5
Goals conceded / match0.30.5
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals25%100%
3 goals25%50%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference+2+8
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Heerenveen
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

AZ
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
84%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Heerenveen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

AZ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.8
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

HeerenveenLigaAZ
Average goals in match 2.754.03 4.00
Both teams scored 50%76% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%82% 50%
Clean sheets 25%12% 50%
Goal before half-time 25%82% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%97% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

4.03
Average goals per match
76%
Both teams scored
82%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
12%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
2.33
Away goals / match
+-27%
Home attack advantage
+-37%
Home defence advantage
+-22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
97%
1 goal
79%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
18%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Heerenveen 1 - 0 - 1 AZ. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Heerenveen and AZ play?

Heerenveen face AZ on 6 September 2026 in Eredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and AZ?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1, AZ won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Heerenveen vs AZ?

Heerenveen score 1.25 goals per game on average and AZ 3.25. The Eredivisie average is 4.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 82% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Heerenveen's matches and 50% of AZ's.

What form are Heerenveen and AZ in?

Over the last 5 games Heerenveen have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and AZ 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heerenveen vs AZ?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.