Hellas Verona vs AC Milan: match statistics
Hellas Verona vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hellas Verona play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hellas Verona: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hellas Verona scores 0.66 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hellas Verona 47%, AC Milan 47%. Over 2.5: Hellas Verona 50%, AC Milan 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.23. Hellas Verona: 11.1 shots per match, AC Milan: 13.2.
Match halves
Hellas Verona: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.26. AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Hellas Verona: 16-30 (7 goals). AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorite is AC Milan (2): the visitors sit 3rd and have a 56% win rate away with a +14 goal difference, while Hellas at home has only a 7% win rate and a -12 goal difference. In attack Milan averages 1.56 goals per away match (47 goals this season), whereas Hellas scores 0.8 goals at home (23 goals); shot conversion is 14% for Milan vs 7% for Hellas. Defensively Milan’s advantage is even clearer: Hellas concedes 1.6 goals per home match and has 13% clean sheets, while Milan concedes 0.69 goals away and keeps clean sheets in 44% of away games. xG figures are similar (Hellas xG at home 1.30 vs Milan xG away 1.28), but Hellas’s high share of matches without scoring (47% FTS) and lower conversion translate into reduced real effectiveness for the hosts. Considering form—Hellas with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 (points per game 0.6), Milan with 2 wins and 3 losses (points per game 1.2)—I estimate a 70% chance of a Milan win, 20% draw, and 10% Hellas win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hellas Verona | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AC Milan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Hellas Verona · 0.8 pts / match - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 111% better for: goals scored per match.
0.66 goals / match - Hellas Verona · 1.39 goals / match - AC Milan
AC Milan is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Hellas Verona · 0.92 goals / match - AC Milan
Hellas Verona scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hellas Verona
Over / Under — AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Hellas Verona · 1.34 pts / match - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hellas Verona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Hellas Verona | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 32% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hellas Verona 0 - 0 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Hellas Verona 0:1 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
Hellas Verona score 0.66 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hellas Verona's matches and 47% of AC Milan's.
What form are Hellas Verona and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Hellas Verona have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and AC Milan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hellas Verona vs AC Milan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.