Heracles vs PSV: match statistics
PSV is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 20 wins this season. The visitors win a staggering 92% of away matches and have not recorded a single draw on the road, demonstrating their dominance. Heracles is located in 18th position, with just 5 wins this season and disastrous form – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -5 at home. PSV scores an average of 2.58 goals away while conceding just 1 goal per match, whereas Heracles concedes an average of 2.27 goals in home games. The difference in class, form, and offensive quality clearly points to a certain victory for the visitors.
Heracles vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heracles played PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Heracles: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. PSV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heracles scores 1.29 and concedes 2.58 goals per match. PSV scores 2.92 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heracles 54%, PSV 71%. Over 2.5: Heracles 75%, PSV 83%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.24. Heracles: 11.1 shots per match, PSV: 17.7.
Match halves
Heracles: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.67. PSV: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Heracles: 46-60 (7 goals). PSV: 16-30 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV is the decided favorite for this encounter, sitting in first place in the table with an impressive record of 20 wins this season. The visitors win a staggering 92% of away matches and have not recorded a single draw on the road, demonstrating their dominance. Heracles is located in 18th position, with just 5 wins this season and disastrous form – only 1 win in the last 5 matches and a goal difference of -5 at home. PSV scores an average of 2.58 goals away while conceding just 1 goal per match, whereas Heracles concedes an average of 2.27 goals in home games. The difference in class, form, and offensive quality clearly points to a certain victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Heracles · 2 pts / match - PSV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 126% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Heracles · 2.92 goals / match - PSV
PSV is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.58 goals / match - Heracles · 1.21 goals / match - PSV
Heracles scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
PSV scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - PSV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Heracles · 2 pts / match - PSV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heracles
PSV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | PSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.88 | 3.21 | ▲ 4.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 18% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heracles 0 - 0 - 1 PSV. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs PSV?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 1:3 PSV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs PSV?
Heracles score 1.29 goals per game on average and PSV 2.92. The Eredivisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Heracles's matches and 71% of PSV's.
What form are Heracles and PSV in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and PSV 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs PSV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heracles vs PSV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.