Hércules vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Hércules presents a disastrous home form with a 75% loss rate and a goal difference of -29, conceding an average of 2.63 goals per home match. Fuerte San Francisco is also in poor away shape (47% loss rate) but shows greater defensive stability with 29% clean sheets on the road. Both teams have very low offensive efficiency (Hércules 0.81 goals/match, Fuerte 0.88 goals/match) and high FTS% rates (38% vs 53%). The last five matches for both teams are a series of disappointments with a minimal number of points (0.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG). Given the weakness of both sides, the visitors' high draw percentage (35%), and the lack of a clear favorite, the most likely scenario is a draw in a low-scoring match.
Hércules vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hércules played Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hércules: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hércules scores 0.91 and concedes 2.27 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.91 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hércules 61%, Fuerte San Francisco 52%. Over 2.5: Hércules 61%, Fuerte San Francisco 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Fuerte San Francisco has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.06. Hércules: 6.6 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.6.
Match halves
Hércules: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.48. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Hércules: 76-90+ (7 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hércules presents a disastrous home form with a 75% loss rate and a goal difference of -29, conceding an average of 2.63 goals per home match. Fuerte San Francisco is also in poor away shape (47% loss rate) but shows greater defensive stability with 29% clean sheets on the road. Both teams have very low offensive efficiency (Hércules 0.81 goals/match, Fuerte 0.88 goals/match) and high FTS% rates (38% vs 53%). The last five matches for both teams are a series of disappointments with a minimal number of points (0.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG). Given the weakness of both sides, the visitors' high draw percentage (35%), and the lack of a clear favorite, the most likely scenario is a draw in a low-scoring match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hércules | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fuerte San Francisco is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Hércules · 0.4 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fuerte San Francisco is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.27 goals / match - Hércules · 1.79 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Hércules scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Hércules keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hércules
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hércules - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hércules
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Hércules | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.74 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- HérculesGoalJosé Ernesto Oliva Posada
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hércules 0 - 2 - 1 Fuerte San Francisco. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hércules vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Hércules 1:2 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hércules and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hércules won 0, Fuerte San Francisco won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hércules vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Hércules score 0.91 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.91. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Hércules's matches and 52% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Hércules and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Hércules have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hércules vs Fuerte San Francisco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.