Canada - Canadian Premier LeagueWanderers GroundsData current as of 23 September 2026

HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HFX Wanderers FC play Atlético Ottawa in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Wanderers Grounds.

Current form

HFX Wanderers FC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Ottawa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.52 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Atlético Ottawa scores 1.48 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HFX Wanderers FC 65%, Atlético Ottawa 65%. Over 2.5: HFX Wanderers FC 57%, Atlético Ottawa 70%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Ottawa has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.18. HFX Wanderers FC: 10.1 shots per match, Atlético Ottawa: 11.6.

Match halves

HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.83. Atlético Ottawa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.13.

Goals by minute

HFX Wanderers FC: 31-45+ (8 goals). Atlético Ottawa: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Canadian Premier League: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-5. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 43%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.52Goals scored / match1.48
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.65Goals conceded / match1.7
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
47%Average possession59%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
3.65Shots on target / match4.09
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.09Shots per match11.61
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
3.65Shots on target4.09
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
15.1%Shot conversion12.7%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
47%Possession59%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.18xG for1.32
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.69xG against1.57
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

Shooting quality

HFX Wanderers FC: Counter-attackingAtlético Ottawa: Balanced
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HFX Wanderers FC is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 0.8 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

HFX Wanderers FC
WLLWW
Season result split
30% W22% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-11
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Ottawa
LWDLL
Season result split
43% W17% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-9
1.48 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HFX Wanderers FC scoring profile: very strong

HFX Wanderers FC scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Atlético Ottawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

Atlético Ottawa scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Ottawa scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).

35Goals scored (season)34
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
38Goals conceded (season)39
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
3.17Average goals in match3.17
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
11Goals scored (last 5)3
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal78%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
39%2 goals39%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
17%3 goals17%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
9%4 goals9%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal83%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
52%2 goals52%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
26%3 goals30%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
9%4 goals4%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
HFX Wanderers FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 23 matches
65%
Atlético Ottawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 23 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time9%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
13%BTTS in both halves0%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
22%Scored in both halves13%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
60%BTTS - last 540%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time35%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HFX Wanderers FC is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 0.91 pts / match - Atlético Ottawa

HFX Wanderers FC - half-time state
30% leading43% draw26% trailing
Atlético Ottawa - half-time state
17% leading39% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)0.91
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.35
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.17
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
52%Clean sheet before half-time57%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
52%No goal before half-time74%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.61
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)1.13
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
1.83Average goals (2nd half)2
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
39%Clean sheet after half-time43%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
43%No goal after half-time35%
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa

HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results

35% W30% D35% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Ottawa - second-half results

43% W30% D26% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HFX Wanderers FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.00
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Atlético Ottawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HFX Wanderers FC
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
5
6
16-30
8
5
31-45
6
8
46-60
6
8
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Atlético Ottawa
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
3
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
8
46-60
7
9
61-75
15
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HFX Wanderers FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Atlético Ottawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).

Teams vs league

HFX Wanderers FCLigaAtlético Ottawa
Average goals in match 3.172.96 3.17
Both teams scored 65%63% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%54% 70%
Clean sheets 22%20% 17%
Goal before half-time 70%62% 61%
Goal after half-time 78%83% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 1 - 5 Atlético Ottawa. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 43% matches.

Atlético Ottawa
2 : 1
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 3
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 0
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 0
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 2
HFX Wanderers FC

FAQ

When do HFX Wanderers FC and Atlético Ottawa play?

HFX Wanderers FC face Atlético Ottawa on 26 September 2026 in Canadian Premier League at Wanderers Grounds. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between HFX Wanderers FC and Atlético Ottawa?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches HFX Wanderers FC won 1, Atlético Ottawa won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

HFX Wanderers FC score 1.52 goals per game on average and Atlético Ottawa 1.48. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of HFX Wanderers FC's matches and 65% of Atlético Ottawa's.

What form are HFX Wanderers FC and Atlético Ottawa in?

Over the last 5 games HFX Wanderers FC have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Ottawa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa?

The statistical background for HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.