HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC: match statistics
HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HFX Wanderers FC played Cavalry FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Wanderers Grounds. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
HFX Wanderers FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cavalry FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.52 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Cavalry FC scores 2.04 and concedes 0.76. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HFX Wanderers FC 64%, Cavalry FC 52%. Over 2.5: HFX Wanderers FC 56%, Cavalry FC 52%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.20. HFX Wanderers FC: 10.2 shots per match, Cavalry FC: 14.8.
Match halves
HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.88. Cavalry FC: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
HFX Wanderers FC: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cavalry FC: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-4. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 57%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cavalry FC top the table with 16 wins in 25 matches, while HFX Wanderers FC sit 6th and have won 7 games. Away from home, Cavalry win 54% of their matches, compared with HFX’s 33% win rate at home, which points to Cavalry despite HFX’s home advantage. The biggest difference is defensively: Cavalry concede an average of 0.92 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, compared with HFX’s 1.58 goals conceded and 25% clean-sheet rate at home. The visitors hold only a slight attacking edge — away, they score an average of 1.62 goals with an xG of 1.47, while the hosts average 1.58 goals with an xG of 1.42 at home. Both teams have earned 7 points from their last 5 matches, so although Cavalry’s stronger defence gives them the edge, a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 60% of their last 5 matches, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.6 goals and the visitors 1.4 over that period. Their attacking potential also supports this scenario: HFX average 2.5 goals at home, while Cavalry average 1.62 away. The hosts have failed to score in none of their home matches, whereas the visitors have drawn a blank in 23% of their away fixtures, which is the main risk for this market. Although HFX keep a clean sheet in 42% of their home matches, the recent results of both teams and average xG figures of 1.87 and 1.47 marginally favor BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 92% of HFX Wanderers matches and 62% of Cavalry matches. The hosts score an average of 2.5 goals per game and generate an xG of 1.87, although the visitors’ defence concedes an average of just 0.92 goals. Cavalry score an average of 1.62 goals, while over their last five matches, the teams have averaged 2.0 and 2.2 goals per game, respectively. At the same time, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 58% of the hosts’ matches and 46% of the visitors’ matches, making the case for this line less compelling than for Over 1.5. The projected total of 2.77 goals points to at least two goals, but does not support an equally strong recommendation on the higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: HFX went into the break level in 50% of matches, compared with 62% for Cavalry, while the visitors kept a clean sheet in the first half in 92% of games. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the hosts, who score an average of 1.75 goals then, while Cavalry concede 0.77. HFX also have the stronger attacking numbers overall, averaging 2.5 goals scored and an xG of 1.87, compared with their opponents’ 1.62 goals and 1.47 xG. The case for a home win is supported by HFX’s 75% win rate against Cavalry’s 54%, although both teams’ identical average of 1.4 points over their last five matches tempers confidence in the pick. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an HFX win is a stronger scenario than the hosts taking the lead at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HFX Wanderers FC | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 2.04 goals / match - Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC is 121% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 0.76 goals / match - Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
Cavalry FC scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HFX Wanderers FC
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavalry FC is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1.64 pts / match - Cavalry FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| HFX Wanderers FC | Liga | Cavalry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.13 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): HFX Wanderers FC 0 - 3 - 4 Cavalry FC. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 57% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished HFX Wanderers FC 2:2 Cavalry FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches HFX Wanderers FC won 0, Cavalry FC won 4 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
HFX Wanderers FC score 1.52 goals per game on average and Cavalry FC 2.04. The Canadian Premier League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 64% of HFX Wanderers FC's matches and 52% of Cavalry FC's.
What form are HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC in?
Over the last 5 games HFX Wanderers FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cavalry FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC?
The statistical background for HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.