Scotland - PremiershipEaster Road StadiumData current as of 30 August 2026

Hibernian vs Hearts: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hibernian vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hibernian play Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 3 September 2026. Venue: Easter Road Stadium.

Current form

Hibernian: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Hearts: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hibernian scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Hearts scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hibernian 100%, Hearts 67%. Over 2.5: Hibernian 100%, Hearts 100%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Hibernian has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.67. Hibernian: 17.3 shots per match, Hearts: 14.7.

Match halves

Hibernian: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00. Hearts: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Hibernian: 0-15 (1 goals). Hearts: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match2.33
HibernianHearts
1.33Goals conceded / match1
HibernianHearts
45%Average possession46%
HibernianHearts
5Shots on target / match6
HibernianHearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.33Shots per match14.67
HibernianHearts
5Shots on target6
HibernianHearts
9.6%Shot conversion15.9%
HibernianHearts
45%Possession46%
HibernianHearts
1.83xG for1.67
HibernianHearts
1.82xG against1.17
HibernianHearts

Shooting quality

Hibernian: AttackingHearts: Counter-attacking
HibernianHearts
Accuracy (shots on target)29%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hibernian
LWW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Hearts
LWW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Hibernian · 2.33 goals / match - Hearts

Hearts is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Hibernian · 1 goals / match - Hearts

Hibernian scoring profile: very strong

Hibernian scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)7
HibernianHearts
4Goals conceded (season)3
HibernianHearts
3Average goals in match3.33
HibernianHearts
5Goals scored (last 5)7
HibernianHearts
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
HibernianHearts

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
HibernianHearts
67%2 goals67%
HibernianHearts
0%3 goals33%
HibernianHearts
0%4 goals33%
HibernianHearts

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal67%
HibernianHearts
33%2 goals33%
HibernianHearts
0%3 goals0%
HibernianHearts
0%4 goals0%
HibernianHearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
HibernianHearts
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HibernianHearts
67%Scored in both halves33%
HibernianHearts

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
HibernianHearts
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
HibernianHearts
100%BTTS - last 567%
HibernianHearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
HibernianHearts
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
HibernianHearts
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HibernianHearts

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
HibernianHearts
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
HibernianHearts
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HibernianHearts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Hibernian · 3 pts / match - Hearts

Hibernian - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing
Hearts - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)3
HibernianHearts
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.67
HibernianHearts
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0
HibernianHearts
1Average goals (1st half)1.67
HibernianHearts
67%Clean sheet before half-time100%
HibernianHearts
33%No goal before half-time0%
HibernianHearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
HibernianHearts
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
HibernianHearts
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
HibernianHearts
2Average goals (2nd half)1.67
HibernianHearts
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
HibernianHearts
0%No goal after half-time67%
HibernianHearts

Hibernian - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hearts - second-half results

33% W0% R67% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 67%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hibernian - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.71.0
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal33%0%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.00
Goals scored / match1.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.71.7
1 goal100%100%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 43% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HibernianLigaHearts
Average goals in match 3.002.95 3.33
Both teams scored 100%53% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%58% 100%
Clean sheets 0%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%79% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%95% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.58
Away goals / match
+-13%
Home attack advantage
+-15%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
95%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Hibernian 1 - 0 - 3 Hearts. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Hibernian and Hearts play?

Hibernian face Hearts on 3 September 2026 in Premiership at Easter Road Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Hearts?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 1, Hearts won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hibernian vs Hearts?

Hibernian score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.33. The Premiership average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Hibernian's matches and 67% of Hearts's.

What form are Hibernian and Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Hibernian have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hearts 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernian vs Hearts?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.