Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both sides. Hibernians displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.86 goals scored per match, though their defense concedes an average of 1.36 goals per game. Hamrun Spartans stands out with a stellar defensive record on the road, conceding just 0.5 goals on average with an impressive 60% clean sheet rate, although their attack is less potent (1.2 goals per match). Recent form over the last five matches is similar: the hosts hold 2.0 PPG, while the visitors sit at 1.6 PPG. A key factor is Hamrun Spartans' advantage in possession (57% vs 46%) and their high away draw percentage (40%). Given the visitors' solid defense and the hosts' decent efficiency in front of their home crowd, a draw seems the most likely outcome, though Hibernians' slight home advantage gives them a marginally better chance of securing a win.
Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hibernians play Hamrun Spartans in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match date is 18 February 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hibernians: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Hamrun Spartans: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hibernians scores 1.41 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Hamrun Spartans scores 1.65 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hibernians 59%, Hamrun Spartans 38%. Over 2.5: Hibernians 53%, Hamrun Spartans 35%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Hamrun Spartans has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.20. Hibernians: 7.8 shots per match, Hamrun Spartans: 8.4.
Match halves
Hibernians: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.78. Hamrun Spartans: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Hibernians: 16-30 (12 goals). Hamrun Spartans: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both sides. Hibernians displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.86 goals scored per match, though their defense concedes an average of 1.36 goals per game. Hamrun Spartans stands out with a stellar defensive record on the road, conceding just 0.5 goals on average with an impressive 60% clean sheet rate, although their attack is less potent (1.2 goals per match). Recent form over the last five matches is similar: the hosts hold 2.0 PPG, while the visitors sit at 1.6 PPG. A key factor is Hamrun Spartans' advantage in possession (57% vs 46%) and their high away draw percentage (40%). Given the visitors' solid defense and the hosts' decent efficiency in front of their home crowd, a draw seems the most likely outcome, though Hibernians' slight home advantage gives them a marginally better chance of securing a win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hibernians | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamrun Spartans is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hibernians · 2.4 pts / match - Hamrun Spartans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamrun Spartans is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Hibernians · 1.65 goals / match - Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans is 135% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hibernians · 0.65 goals / match - Hamrun Spartans
Hibernians scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Hamrun Spartans keeps a clean sheet in 56% (19 of 34 matches).
Hamrun Spartans scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hibernians
Over / Under — Hamrun Spartans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamrun Spartans is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Hibernians · 1.53 pts / match - Hamrun Spartans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hibernians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamrun Spartans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hibernians
Hamrun Spartans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hibernians | Liga | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 29% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hibernians 0 - 0 - 1 Hamrun Spartans. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Hibernians 0:1 Hamrun Spartans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
Hibernians score 1.41 goals per game on average and Hamrun Spartans 1.65. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Hibernians's matches and 38% of Hamrun Spartans's.
What form are Hibernians and Hamrun Spartans in?
Over the last 5 games Hibernians have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hamrun Spartans 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.