Hibernians vs Mosta: match statistics
Hibernians clearly outperform Mosta in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts boast an impressive 45% win rate at home with an average of 2 goals per match and a positive goal difference of +5, while Mosta have only a 33% win rate away and a negative goal difference of -7. Hibernians have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, winning 3 of them, which indicates good form. Mosta have poor away form with 67% losses and just 0.78 goals per match on the road. The hosts hold an advantage in all key statistics, including xG (1.12 vs 0.97) and possession (47% vs 43%). Considering this data, a Hibernians victory is the most likely scenario.
Hibernians vs Mosta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hibernians played Mosta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hibernians: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mosta: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hibernians scores 1.78 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Mosta scores 1.17 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hibernians 61%, Mosta 50%. Over 2.5: Hibernians 61%, Mosta 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernians has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.03. Hibernians: 7.1 shots per match, Mosta: 6.6.
Match halves
Hibernians: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. Mosta: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Hibernians: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mosta: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernians clearly outperform Mosta in terms of form and efficiency. The hosts boast an impressive 45% win rate at home with an average of 2 goals per match and a positive goal difference of +5, while Mosta have only a 33% win rate away and a negative goal difference of -7. Hibernians have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, winning 3 of them, which indicates good form. Mosta have poor away form with 67% losses and just 0.78 goals per match on the road. The hosts hold an advantage in all key statistics, including xG (1.12 vs 0.97) and possession (47% vs 43%). Considering this data, a Hibernians victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hibernians | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hibernians is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hibernians · 0.8 pts / match - Mosta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernians is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Hibernians · 1.17 goals / match - Mosta
Hibernians is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Hibernians · 1.83 goals / match - Mosta
Hibernians scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Mosta scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hibernians
Over / Under - Mosta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernians is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Hibernians · 0.94 pts / match - Mosta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hibernians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hibernians
Mosta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hibernians | Liga | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 2.58 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 75% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hibernians 0 - 1 - 1 Mosta. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hibernians vs Mosta?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Hibernians 1:0 Mosta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernians and Mosta?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 0, Mosta won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hibernians vs Mosta?
Hibernians score 1.78 goals per game on average and Mosta 1.17. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Hibernians's matches and 50% of Mosta's.
What form are Hibernians and Mosta in?
Over the last 5 games Hibernians have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mosta 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernians vs Mosta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.