Hillerød vs AaB: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Hillerød vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hillerød play AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Hillerød Stadion.
Current form
Hillerød: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AaB: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hillerød scores 1.18 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. AaB scores 1.27 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hillerød 55%, AaB 55%. Over 2.5: Hillerød 27%, AaB 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.37. Hillerød: 12.3 shots per match, AaB: 13.9.
Match halves
Hillerød: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55. AaB: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Hillerød: 0-15 (4 goals). AaB: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AaB is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.2 pts / match - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.27 goals / match - AaB
AaB is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.36 goals / match - AaB
Hillerød scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
AaB scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.73 pts / match - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hillerød
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.73 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Hillerød 0 - 2 - 1 AaB. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Hillerød and AaB play?
Hillerød face AaB on 24 October 2026 in 1st Division at Hillerød Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and AaB?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 0, AaB won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs AaB?
Hillerød score 1.18 goals per game on average and AaB 1.27. The 1st Division average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Hillerød's matches and 55% of AaB's.
What form are Hillerød and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AaB 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs AaB?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.