Denmark - 1st DivisionHillerød StadionData current as of 15 October 2026

Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: match statistics

Hillerød crest
Hillerød
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Aarhus Fremad crest
Aarhus Fremad

Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hillerød played Aarhus Fremad in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Hillerød Stadion. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Hillerød: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match. Aarhus Fremad: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hillerød scores 2.00 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Aarhus Fremad scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hillerød 67%, Aarhus Fremad 100%. Over 2.5: Hillerød 67%, Aarhus Fremad 100%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Hillerød has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.09. Hillerød: 15.0 shots per match, Aarhus Fremad: 9.3.

Match halves

Hillerød: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Hillerød: 76-90+ (3 goals). Aarhus Fremad: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Aarhus Fremad sit 4th, while Hillerød are 11th. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game. Hillerød have scored 20 goals in their last five fixtures, but have also suffered 3 defeats, including a 2:3 loss in their only home match so far. The hosts’ defence allows chances worth an average of 2.14 xG at home and concedes 3 goals per game—significantly more than Aarhus Fremad, who concede an average of 1 goal away from home from 1.23 xG against. Hillerød should create opportunities, averaging 20 shots and 66% possession at home, but Aarhus Fremad are more clinical, converting 18% of their attempts into goals compared with the opponents’ 10%. The visitors won their only away match of the season and have not lost any match outside their own stadium, making an Aarhus Fremad victory the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS signal is very strong, as both teams have seen goals scored by both sides in 100% of their matches so far this season, and neither has kept a clean sheet. Hillerød scores an average of 2.0 goals but concedes 1.5, while Aarhus Fremad also scores 2.0 goals per match and concedes just 1.0. Recent form further supports the goals market: across five matches, the hosts have averaged 4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while the visitors have recorded 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Hillerød has allowed opponents an xG of 2.04 over its last five matches, significantly increasing Aarhus Fremad’s chances of scoring, while the hosts are also generating an xG of 1.61. BTTS occurs in 72% of league matches, so even with a small seasonal sample, the data from both teams clearly points towards a goal for each side.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams score 2.0 goals per match in the league, while Hillerød concede 1.5, which supports an open game script. In their last five matches, Hillerød averaged 4.0 goals scored, compared with 2.4 for Aarhus Fremad, while conceding 2.0 and 1.2 goals respectively. Each team has exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches this season, and both sides have scored at least one goal in every game. The xG data is slightly more moderate, but Hillerød’s defence allows an average of 1.56 xG, compared with the 1.18 xG created by the visitors. The strongest signal is Over 1.5: the combination of effective attacks, no matches without scoring, and high recent goal output gives this selection a clear edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Aarhus Fremad are strongest in the first halves: they were leading at the break in 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, compared with Hillerød’s 1.0. The visitors won 60% of their last five matches and have not lost any match in the current season data, while Hillerød suffered defeat in 60% of their last five outings. Aarhus Fremad’s advantage is also supported by their stronger defensive record over the season, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per match compared with Hillerød’s 1.5. However, the hosts are highly dangerous after the interval, averaging 3.0 second-half goals across their last five matches, so the risk of a turnaround remains significant. Nevertheless, the most likely scenario is that Aarhus Fremad will capitalise on their faster start and maintain their lead until the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

41Possession (%)59
HillerødAarhus Fremad
15Shots17
HillerødAarhus Fremad
4Shots on target4
HillerødAarhus Fremad
1.48xG1.77
HillerødAarhus Fremad
8Corners4
HillerødAarhus Fremad
35Dangerous attacks57
HillerødAarhus Fremad
13Fouls8
HillerødAarhus Fremad
3Cards0
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match2
HillerødAarhus Fremad
3Goals conceded / match1.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
50%Average possession49%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
7.67Shots on target / match3.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match9.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
7.67Shots on target3.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
13.3%Shot conversion21.4%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
50%Possession49%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
1.75xG for1.09
HillerødAarhus Fremad
2.16xG against1.45
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Shooting quality

Hillerød: AttackingAarhus Fremad: Efficient finishing
HillerødAarhus Fremad
Accuracy (shots on target)51%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.60

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hillerød
LLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-3
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 2.16BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Aarhus Fremad
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarhus Fremad is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.33 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad

Hillerød scoring profile: very strong

Hillerød scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Aarhus Fremad scoring profile: very strong

Aarhus Fremad scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

6Goals scored (season)6
HillerødAarhus Fremad
9Goals conceded (season)4
HillerødAarhus Fremad
5Average goals in match3.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
6Goals scored (last 5)6
HillerødAarhus Fremad
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
HillerødAarhus Fremad

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%2 goals67%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%3 goals33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%4 goals0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%2 goals33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%3 goals0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%4 goals0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

70%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%BTTS in both halves0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%Scored in both halves33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%BTTS - last 5100%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarhus Fremad is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Hillerød · 2 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad

Hillerød - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Aarhus Fremad - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)2
HillerødAarhus Fremad
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
HillerødAarhus Fremad
1.67Average goals (1st half)2
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%Clean sheet before half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
67%No goal before half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
HillerødAarhus Fremad
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
HillerødAarhus Fremad
2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
HillerødAarhus Fremad
3.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
HillerødAarhus Fremad
0%Clean sheet after half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad
33%No goal after half-time33%
HillerødAarhus Fremad

Hillerød - second-half results

33% W0% D67% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aarhus Fremad - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hillerød - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.00
Goals scored / match0.71.3
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.73.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals33%67%
Clean sheet33%0%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 2
Aarhus Fremad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.30.7
Goals conceded / match0.70.7
Average goals in match2.01.3
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet33%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hillerød
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Aarhus Fremad
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 2.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
134%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hillerød

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
188%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Aarhus Fremad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.91
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HillerødLigaAarhus Fremad
Average goals in match▲ 5.003.10▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▼ 67%70%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%60%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▼ 0%15%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%75%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%80%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
70%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-7%
Home defence advantage
+-10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Aarhus FremadGoalElias Caspersen EgertonAssist: Frederik Grube
  2. HillerødSubstitutionOn: Sebastian LarsenOff: Andreas Høyer
  3. HillerødYellow cardJonathan Witt
  4. HillerødYellow cardSaman Jalaei
  5. Aarhus FremadSubstitutionOn: Linus RönnbergOff: Kasper Lunding Jakobsen
  6. HillerødGoalRezan Corlu
  7. Aarhus FremadSubstitutionOn: Jonas ØstergårdOff: Carl Carøe Nygaard
  8. HillerødYellow cardJakob Gunnar Sigurðsson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Hillerød 1 - 0 - 1 Aarhus Fremad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Hillerød Fodbold
1 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
3 : 1
Hillerød Fodbold

FAQ

What was the result of Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?

The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 1:1 Aarhus Fremad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and Aarhus Fremad?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1, Aarhus Fremad won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?

Hillerød score 2.00 goals per game on average and Aarhus Fremad 2.00. The 1st Division average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Hillerød's matches and 100% of Aarhus Fremad's.

What form are Hillerød and Aarhus Fremad in?

Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 0-0-3 record (0.00 points per game) and Aarhus Fremad 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.