Hillerød vs Horsens: match statistics
Hillerød vs Horsens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hillerød played Horsens in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hillerød: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Horsens: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hillerød scores 1.48 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Horsens scores 1.17 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hillerød 74%, Horsens 39%. Over 2.5: Hillerød 61%, Horsens 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hillerød has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.35. Hillerød: 12.0 shots per match, Horsens: 11.9.
Match halves
Hillerød: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Horsens: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Hillerød: 16-30 (7 goals). Horsens: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Hillerød). Hillerød sit 3rd in the table vs Horsens 6th and average 1.45 goals per home game with xG 1.48, while Horsens average 1.00 goals away with xG 1.38. The hosts register 5.55 shots on target per home match with a 12% conversion rate versus Horsens’ 3.91 shots on target and 8% conversion, and in the last 5 matches Hillerød scored 7 goals vs Horsens’ 3. Hillerød fail to score in 18% of home games, whereas Horsens are goalless in 45% of away matches, despite the visitors conceding only 0.64 goals on the road (Hillerød 0.91 at home) and keeping 55% clean sheets away. Considering the offensive edge, better form over the last 5 (Hillerød 7-7 vs Horsens 3-9) and an average of 1.2 points in the last 5 matches vs Horsens’ 0.8, I assess probabilities: Hillerød 62%, draw 22%, Horsens 16%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis favors a 'no' scenario (at least one team fails to score), as Hillerød has a season BTTS rate of 50% versus only 27% for Horsens. Horsens records 55% clean sheets and concedes on average 0.64 goals per match this season, while Hillerød concedes 1.42 on average, meaning statistically the visitors more often finish matches with a clean sheet. Arguments for BTTS include a league rate of 55% matches with both teams scoring and xG comparison: offensively Hillerød 1.31 vs Horsens 1.38, and xG against 1.41 (home) vs 1.08 (away), indicating that chances are created by both sides. However, Horsens’ low finishing rate of 8% and only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 avg) significantly limit their realistic scoring chances despite 1.38 xG. Considering the visitors’ 27% season BTTS, 55% clean sheets and poor recent attacking numbers, I assign 62% to 'no' and 38% to 'yes' as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I base the projection on xG: Hillerød’s average xG scored is 1.31 and Horsens’ average xG conceded is 1.08, yielding expected home goals (1.31+1.08)/2 = 1.20; similarly Horsens’ average xG scored is 1.38 and Hillerød’s average xG conceded is 1.41, giving expected away goals (1.38+1.41)/2 = 1.40, total = 2.60. The 2.60 total is close to the league average of 2.75 and aligns with seasonal over 2.5 rates: Hillerød at home have 58% of matches over 2.5, Horsens away 36%, averaging roughly 47% — comparable to my over 2.5 estimate of 48%. A Poisson model with mean 2.60 yields probabilities: over 1.5 ≈ 73%, over 2.5 ≈ 48%, and over 3.5 ≈ 26%. Additionally, Hillerød have better shot conversion (11% vs Horsens 8%) and average 4.33 shots on target vs 3.91, which increases the home side’s scoring chances, despite Horsens keeping 55% clean sheets away. For these reasons I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal (line 1.5, over), with an estimated probability of 73%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hillerød led at half-time in 50% of their matches and score an average of 0.83 goals by the break versus Horsens’ 0.55, so the home side are favorites at the half. However, Hillerød have a negative goal balance in second halves (-4) and conceded as many as 6 goals in minutes 76–90, while Horsens scored 2 goals in that interval, which increases the risk of a lost lead. Horsens concede only 0.64 goals on average away and produce 1.38 xG with 1.08 xG against, whereas Hillerød allow 1.41 xG and concede 1.42 goals at home on average, so the visitors’ defense looks more stable. Considering Hillerød’s 50% chance to lead at half-time, the hosts’ simultaneous weakness in the second half (-4) and 6 late goals conceded, the most likely scenario is 1/X (Hillerød leading at half-time and a draw at full-time; 25%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hillerød is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hillerød · 0.8 pts / match - Horsens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hillerød is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.17 goals / match - Horsens
Horsens is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.04 goals / match - Horsens
Hillerød scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Horsens scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Horsens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Horsens is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.65 pts / match - Horsens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 39%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hillerød
Horsens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Horsens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.78 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 54% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hillerød 1 - 0 - 1 Horsens. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Horsens?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 0:0 Horsens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and Horsens?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1, Horsens won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Horsens?
Hillerød score 1.48 goals per game on average and Horsens 1.17. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Hillerød's matches and 39% of Horsens's.
What form are Hillerød and Horsens in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Horsens 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Horsens?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hillerød vs Horsens: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.