Finland - VeikkausliigaBolt ArenaData current as of 04 November 2026

HJK vs Oulu: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HJK vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HJK play Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 8 November 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena.

Current form

HJK: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Oulu: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

HJK scores 2.03 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Oulu scores 1.23 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HJK 45%, Oulu 42%. Over 2.5: HJK 65%, Oulu 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.26. HJK: 14.1 shots per match, Oulu: 10.9.

Match halves

HJK: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.16. Oulu: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

HJK: 61-75 (14 goals). Oulu: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-1. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 40%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.24)
(6.15)
(9.85)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.03Goals scored / match1.23
HJKOulu
1.16Goals conceded / match1.19
HJKOulu
54%Average possession46%
HJKOulu
4.97Shots on target / match3.77
HJKOulu

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.1Shots per match10.9
HJKOulu
4.97Shots on target3.77
HJKOulu
14.4%Shot conversion11.2%
HJKOulu
54%Possession46%
HJKOulu
1.63xG for1.26
HJKOulu
1.35xG against1.49
HJKOulu

Shooting quality

HJK: AttackingOulu: Balanced
HJKOulu
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - HJK · 2 pts / match - Oulu

HJK
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
55% W23% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-7
1.87 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Oulu
LWWDW
Season result split
45% W16% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-5-12
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-6
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 65% better for: goals scored per match.

2.03 goals / match - HJK · 1.23 goals / match - Oulu

HJK scoring profile: strong

HJK scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).

Oulu scoring profile: strong

Oulu scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).

63Goals scored (season)38
HJKOulu
36Goals conceded (season)37
HJKOulu
3.19Average goals in match2.42
HJKOulu
18Goals scored (last 5)11
HJKOulu
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
HJKOulu

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal71%
HJKOulu
55%2 goals32%
HJKOulu
35%3 goals10%
HJKOulu
23%4 goals6%
HJKOulu

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal61%
HJKOulu
35%2 goals29%
HJKOulu
16%3 goals19%
HJKOulu
3%4 goals6%
HJKOulu

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time13%
HJKOulu
10%BTTS in both halves6%
HJKOulu
39%Scored in both halves19%
HJKOulu

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
HJKOulu
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
HJKOulu
60%BTTS - last 560%
HJKOulu

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
HJKOulu
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
HJKOulu
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
HJKOulu

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
HJKOulu
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
HJKOulu
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
HJKOulu

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.68 pts / match - HJK · 1.26 pts / match - Oulu

HJK - half-time state
45% leading32% draw23% trailing
Oulu - half-time state
29% leading39% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.68Points per match (1st half)1.26
HJKOulu
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.48
HJKOulu
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
HJKOulu
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.1
HJKOulu
65%Clean sheet before half-time58%
HJKOulu
39%No goal before half-time65%
HJKOulu

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1.58
HJKOulu
1.16Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
HJKOulu
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
HJKOulu
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.32
HJKOulu
58%Clean sheet after half-time65%
HJKOulu
42%No goal after half-time45%
HJKOulu

HJK - second-half results

45% W32% D23% L
52
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Oulu - second-half results

39% W42% D19% L
39
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match1.42.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.63.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%80%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+6+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Oulu - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HJK
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
9
5
16-30
13
5
31-45
12
10
46-60
14
7
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Oulu
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
5
3
16-30
6
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
9
7
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Oulu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

HJKLigaOulu
Average goals in match▲ 3.192.57▼ 2.42
Both teams scored▼ 45%48%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 65%44%▼ 39%
Clean sheets▲ 39%30%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%72%▼ 65%
Goal after half-time▲ 77%74%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): HJK 4 - 0 - 1 Oulu. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.

Oulu
3 : 4
HJK
Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
HJK
0 : 1
Oulu
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
3 : 1
AC Oulu
AC Oulu
0 : 4
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi

FAQ

When do HJK and Oulu play?

HJK face Oulu on 8 November 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Bolt Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Oulu?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches HJK won 4, Oulu won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Oulu?

HJK score 2.03 goals per game on average and Oulu 1.23. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 45% of HJK's matches and 42% of Oulu's.

What form are HJK and Oulu in?

Over the last 5 games HJK have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Oulu 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Oulu?

The statistical background for HJK vs Oulu — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.