HJK vs VPS: match statistics
HJK vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HJK played VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 8 October 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 6:0.
Current form
HJK: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. VPS: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
HJK scores 1.56 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. VPS scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HJK 44%, VPS 48%. Over 2.5: HJK 56%, VPS 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.44. HJK: 13.5 shots per match, VPS: 12.0.
Match halves
HJK: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88. VPS: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
HJK: 31-45+ (8 goals). VPS: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK have home advantage: they win 58% of their home matches, while VPS win 33% of their away games and lose 42%. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals at home from 13.08 shots per match, whereas the visitors manage just 0.92 goals away and fail to score in 33% of their matches. The last five games also favour HJK, who have scored 5 goals and lost once, while VPS have scored 2 goals and suffered 3 defeats. However, the gap in the quality of chances created is narrow — average xG stands at 1.53 for HJK at home and 1.45 for VPS away — and the visitors concede just 1.00 goal on average, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. Even so, HJK’s finishing and home record give them a clearer chance of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is VPS’s scoring form: the visitors have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, and both teams did not score in any of those games. Over the season, VPS have averaged 0.92 goals per match and failed to score in 33% of their games, while HJK have kept a clean sheet in 31%. HJK have a higher goals-per-match average, 1.46 compared with VPS’s 0.92, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will fail to find the net. A counterpoint is that both teams have an identical average xG of 1.45; however, their season BTTS rates are only 46% for HJK and 50% for VPS. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 69% of HJK matches and 83% of VPS matches. Both teams concede an average of 1.0 goals per match this season, while VPS score only 0.92 goals per match compared with HJK’s 1.46. The last 5 matches reinforce a cautious assessment: VPS scored just 2 goals in total and did not feature in a match with at least 3 goals, although their average xG was 1.19, leaving room for improved finishing. With HJK projected to score 1.27 goals and VPS 0.85, the expected total is 2.12 goals, making Under 3.5 goals a safer choice than a lower line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by an HJK win appears the most likely outcome: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and scored just 0.2 goals per game before half-time over that period. VPS have also scored sparingly before the break, averaging 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, although the fact that they led at the break in 40% of those games means HJK cannot consider the opening stages risk-free. The case for a home win is supported by their season averages of 1.46 goals scored compared with 0.92 for VPS, as well as win rates of 46% versus 33% for the visitors. Their second-half form is particularly significant: HJK averaged 0.8 goals after the break in their last 5 matches, while VPS failed to score in the second half of any of them. This combination of a cautious first-half prediction and HJK’s clearer advantage late on justifies the X/1 pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HJK is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - HJK · 1.2 pts / match - VPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - HJK · 1.2 goals / match - VPS
VPS is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - HJK · 1 goals / match - VPS
HJK scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
VPS scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - VPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - HJK · 1.4 pts / match - VPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HJK
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 44% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): HJK 3 - 0 - 1 VPS. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 6:0 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and VPS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches HJK won 3, VPS won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs VPS?
HJK score 1.56 goals per game on average and VPS 1.20. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of HJK's matches and 48% of VPS's.
What form are HJK and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and VPS 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs VPS?
The statistical background for HJK vs VPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.