Denmark - 1st DivisionDS ArenaData current as of 03 November 2026

Hobro vs Esbjerg: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Hobro vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hobro play Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 7 November 2026. Venue: DS Arena.

Current form

Hobro: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Esbjerg: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hobro scores 1.23 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Esbjerg scores 1.23 and concedes 1.85. League average: 2.72 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hobro 77%, Esbjerg 69%. Over 2.5: Hobro 69%, Esbjerg 62%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.23. Hobro: 9.2 shots per match, Esbjerg: 11.5.

Match halves

Hobro: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. Esbjerg: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Hobro: 76-90+ (4 goals). Esbjerg: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1st Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.39)
(3.42)
(2.80)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.23Goals scored / match1.23
HobroEsbjerg
1.77Goals conceded / match1.85
HobroEsbjerg
48%Average possession46%
HobroEsbjerg
3.54Shots on target / match4.38
HobroEsbjerg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.23Shots per match11.54
HobroEsbjerg
3.54Shots on target4.38
HobroEsbjerg
13.3%Shot conversion10.7%
HobroEsbjerg
48%Possession46%
HobroEsbjerg
1.23xG for1.34
HobroEsbjerg
1.73xG against1.95
HobroEsbjerg

Shooting quality

Hobro: Efficient finishingEsbjerg: Balanced
HobroEsbjerg
Accuracy (shots on target)38%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Esbjerg is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Hobro · 1.2 pts / match - Esbjerg

Hobro
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W31% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-5
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Esbjerg
LDDWD
Season result split
15% W38% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-6
0.85 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hobro is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.77 goals / match - Hobro · 1.85 goals / match - Esbjerg

Hobro scoring profile: very strong

Hobro scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).

Esbjerg scoring profile: very strong

Esbjerg scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

16Goals scored (season)16
HobroEsbjerg
23Goals conceded (season)24
HobroEsbjerg
3Average goals in match3.08
HobroEsbjerg
6Goals scored (last 5)6
HobroEsbjerg
12Goals conceded (last 5)8
HobroEsbjerg

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal69%
HobroEsbjerg
38%2 goals38%
HobroEsbjerg
0%3 goals15%
HobroEsbjerg
0%4 goals0%
HobroEsbjerg

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal92%
HobroEsbjerg
46%2 goals62%
HobroEsbjerg
31%3 goals23%
HobroEsbjerg
8%4 goals8%
HobroEsbjerg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time23%
HobroEsbjerg
8%BTTS in both halves15%
HobroEsbjerg
15%Scored in both halves31%
HobroEsbjerg

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
HobroEsbjerg
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
HobroEsbjerg
80%BTTS - last 560%
HobroEsbjerg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
HobroEsbjerg
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
HobroEsbjerg
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
HobroEsbjerg

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
HobroEsbjerg
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
HobroEsbjerg
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time46%
HobroEsbjerg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Esbjerg is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / match - Hobro · 1.15 pts / match - Esbjerg

Hobro - half-time state
15% leading38% draw46% trailing
Esbjerg - half-time state
15% leading69% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per match (1st half)1.15
HobroEsbjerg
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.54
HobroEsbjerg
1.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
HobroEsbjerg
1.54Average goals (1st half)1
HobroEsbjerg
31%Clean sheet before half-time62%
HobroEsbjerg
62%No goal before half-time62%
HobroEsbjerg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.46Points per match (2nd half)0.54
HobroEsbjerg
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
HobroEsbjerg
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)1.38
HobroEsbjerg
1.46Average goals (2nd half)2.08
HobroEsbjerg
62%Clean sheet after half-time15%
HobroEsbjerg
38%No goal after half-time38%
HobroEsbjerg

Hobro - second-half results

31% W54% D15% L
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Esbjerg - second-half results

8% W31% D62% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hobro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.60.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-60
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Esbjerg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hobro
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Esbjerg
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
2
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.04
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hobro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Esbjerg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

HobroLigaEsbjerg
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.72▲ 3.08
Both teams scored▲ 77%62%▲ 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 69%53%▲ 62%
Clean sheets▼ 15%24%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%74%▼ 54%
Goal after half-time▼ 62%74%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Hobro 2 - 1 - 0 Esbjerg. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
Esbjerg fB
1 : 1
Hobro IK
Hobro IK
2 : 0
Esbjerg fB

FAQ

When do Hobro and Esbjerg play?

Hobro face Esbjerg on 7 November 2026 in 1st Division at DS Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hobro and Esbjerg?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hobro won 2, Esbjerg won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs Esbjerg?

Hobro score 1.23 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.23. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Hobro's matches and 69% of Esbjerg's.

What form are Hobro and Esbjerg in?

Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Esbjerg 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs Esbjerg?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hobro vs Esbjerg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.