Horsens vs Lyngby: match statistics
Horsens vs Lyngby: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Horsens played Lyngby in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Horsens: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lyngby: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Horsens scores 1.18 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Lyngby scores 2.23 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Horsens 41%, Lyngby 59%. Over 2.5: Horsens 50%, Lyngby 68%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Lyngby has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.37. Horsens: 12.1 shots per match, Lyngby: 13.9.
Match halves
Horsens: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.50. Lyngby: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Horsens: 31-45+ (6 goals). Lyngby: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Lyngby (2) win. The visitors top the league (1st), Horsens sit 6th, and Horsens’ home goal difference is -2 versus Lyngby’s +11 away. The offensive gap is significant — Lyngby have scored 49 goals this season compared to Horsens’ 26, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have 12 goals versus just 2 for the hosts. Form underscores the advantage: Lyngby average 2.0 points in their last five and have won 3 of the last 5, while Horsens average just 0.4 points and have not won any of the five. Quality of chances also favors the away side — Lyngby average 5.09 shots on target away with an 18% conversion and xG 1.6, versus Horsens’ 4.55 shots on target, 11% conversion and xG 1.36; additionally Horsens concede 1.55 goals at home and have 27% of home matches without scoring, whereas Lyngby concede 1.36 away and fail to score in only 9% of away games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The Both Teams To Score scenario looks more likely: season BTTS rate is 55% for Horsens and 64% for Lyngby, with a league average of 55%. Last 5 matches are mixed: Horsens has only 40% BTTS and scores 0.4 goals on average (2 goals in 5) with xG 0.92, while Lyngby has 60% BTTS, scores 2.4 goals on average (12 goals in 5) and has xG 1.7. Season figures indicate both sides create chances — Horsens xG 1.72 with 14.45 shots per match, Lyngby xG 1.60 with 13.45 shots — and Lyngby has higher finishing efficiency 18% vs 14% and 49 goals scored versus Horsens 26. Against BTTS stands Horsens’ high clean sheet rate 45% and the hosts’ poorer form (2 scored and 9 conceded in last 5), but the high share of matches over 2.5 goals (64% Horsens, 73% Lyngby) and Over2.5+BTTS combinations (45% and 64%) favor the scenario that both teams will find the net (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonally the 1.5 line is almost certain: Horsens have 91% of matches over 1.5 and Lyngby 91%, so I assess Over 1.5 at 92%. xG and defensive analysis shows seasonal xG for Horsens 1.72 versus xG against Lyngby 1.43, and xG for Lyngby 1.60 versus xG against Horsens 1.07; accounting for form over the last 5 matches (Horsens xG 0.92, Lyngby xG 1.70) I calculated expected 1.33 goals for Horsens and 1.41 for Lyngby (total 2.74). At the 2.5 line the stats support Over: seasonal Over 2.5 are 64% for Horsens and 73% for Lyngby (avg ~69%) and my total 2.74 justifies a ~69% probability for Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is less convincing: seasonally Over 3.5 is 27% for Horsens and 64% for Lyngby (avg ~45%), but the expected 2.74 goals reduces this to about a 35% chance for Over 3.5, so Under 3.5 has the edge. Additionally Horsens in the last 5 matches score on average 0.4 goals versus Lyngby 2.4, which increases the weight of Lyngby’s scoring but does not change the recommendation — the best signal is Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/2 (away team leads at the break and wins the match). The away side have scored 20 first-half goals this season versus 16 for the home team, and in the last 5 matches they have 10 first-half goals compared to 5 for the hosts, indicating an advantage for the visitors in the initial 45 minutes. In the second half the away team are even stronger: their average second-half goals is 2.55 versus 1.91 for the home team, and the away side win 82% of second halves, so they can maintain or execute a turnaround after the break. The hosts, however, have better season HT statistics (on average 1.0 goals scored at half-time, 0.45 conceded and 55% clean sheets at half-time), but their form in the last 5 matches (D L L D L) and a low goals-per-game average in the last 5 (0.4) reduce their chances of a full-time victory. Therefore I assign the largest share to 2/2 (36%), then X/2 (20%) and 1/2 (8%), which reflects the away team's scoring edge at half-time and their dominance in second halves.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Horsens | Lyngby | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lyngby is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Horsens · 2 pts / match - Lyngby
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lyngby is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Horsens · 2.23 goals / match - Lyngby
Horsens is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Horsens · 1.14 goals / match - Lyngby
Horsens scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Lyngby keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Lyngby scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Horsens keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Horsens
Over / Under - Lyngby
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Horsens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lyngby - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Horsens
Lyngby
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Horsens | Liga | Lyngby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 25% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Horsens 0 - 1 - 1 Lyngby. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Horsens vs Lyngby?
The 1st Division match finished Horsens 1:0 Lyngby. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Horsens and Lyngby?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Horsens won 0, Lyngby won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Horsens vs Lyngby?
Horsens score 1.18 goals per game on average and Lyngby 2.23. The 1st Division average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Horsens's matches and 59% of Lyngby's.
What form are Horsens and Lyngby in?
Over the last 5 games Horsens have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lyngby 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Horsens vs Lyngby?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.