Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids: match statistics
Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Houston Dynamo played Colorado Rapids in MLS (United States). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Houston Dynamo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Colorado Rapids: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Houston Dynamo scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Colorado Rapids scores 2.20 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Houston Dynamo 44%, Colorado Rapids 70%. Over 2.5: Houston Dynamo 44%, Colorado Rapids 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.39. Houston Dynamo: 13.8 shots per match, Colorado Rapids: 12.2.
Match halves
Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Colorado Rapids: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40.
Goals by minute
Houston Dynamo: 61-75 (4 goals). Colorado Rapids: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Houston Dynamo win; the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and average 2.4 points per game in that span, whereas Colorado Rapids have averaged 1 point per game over their last five and have won only 1 of 5. Houston at home averages 13 shots per game with 3.8 on target and a 9% conversion rate, translating to 1.2 goals per game and home xG 1.39; Colorado away averages 9.5 shots with 3.83 on target, a 14% conversion and 1.33 goals per game with xG 1.12. Defensively the hosts also look better in form — Houston conceded 4 goals in the last 5 matches versus 8 conceded by the Rapids in the same period, and average 1.2 goals conceded at home compared to Colorado’s 2.0 conceded on the road. Although the Rapids dominate possession (57% vs 39%), they create fewer chances (9.5 vs 13) and have a high away loss rate (67%), suggesting possession superiority isn’t translating into efficiency; the sum of these indicators favors a Houston victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high season BTTS rates: Houston 75% and Colorado 67%, exceeding the league average of 57%, indicating both sides have historically scored frequently in matches. Houston generates an average xG 1.79 at home versus Colorado's xG 1.12 away, and the average xG against (1.46 vs 1.49) suggests both defenses concede around 1.5 xG per game. Season goals conceded averages show the home side concedes 1.5 goals and the visitors concede 2.0 goals, and clean sheet percentages are low (25% and 17%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. In the shorter form window, Houston's last 5 matches show a lower BTTS 40% and they concede an average 0.8 goals, whereas Colorado's last 5 matches concede 1.6 goals and score 1.2, meaning opponents more often concede goals. Overall the strongest signal is BTTS = Yes (strong season rates 75%/67%, high xG and low clean sheet percentages), therefore I assess 78% for Yes and 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Houston Dynamo at home average 3.5 goals scored and have xG 1.79, while Colorado Rapids have xG 1.12; combining the home xG with opponent xG against yields an expected 1.64 goals for Houston and 1.29 for Colorado, totaling approximately 2.93 goals. Seasonal metrics show Over 2.5 occurs in 75% of Houston matches and 67% of Colorado matches, with a league Over 2.5 rate of 63%, which strongly supports a bet on Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, the home side averages 16.25 shots (6.75 on target) with a 22% conversion, versus 9.5 shots (3.83 on target) and a 14% conversion for Colorado, increasing the likelihood of goals particularly from Houston. Since the projected total goals (2.93) is clearly above 2.5 but below 3.5, the strongest signal is Over 2.5; Over 1.5 is virtually guaranteed (seasonal 100%/83%), while Over 3.5 remains riskier due to total xG below 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Houston is the clear favorite: they have a 75.0% season win rate versus Colorado’s 17.0% and score an average of 3.5 goals per match compared to 1.33 for their opponents, with an average of 2.25 points per home match versus 0.67 away for the Rapids. At Half-Time Houston led in 3 of 4 matches (75.0%) and average 1.0 goal by the break while conceding 0.5, whereas Colorado averages 0.67 goals by the break and concedes 1.0. Shot and xG metrics confirm the home side’s superiority: Houston averages 16.25 shots and 6.75 SOT with an xG of 1.79 versus the Rapids’ 9.5 shots, 3.83 SOT and xG 1.12, with conversion rates of 22% vs 14%. Houston maintains pressure in the second half (averaging 2.5 goals in the second half vs 0.67 for the Rapids), which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. Therefore I predict an HT/FT 1/1 as the strongest scenario and assign it a 60% probability, with a lower risk of a draw or a Rapids turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Houston Dynamo | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Houston Dynamo is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 0.8 pts / match - Colorado Rapids
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colorado Rapids is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 2.2 goals / match - Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.8 goals / match - Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Colorado Rapids keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Colorado Rapids scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colorado Rapids is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Houston Dynamo · 1.4 pts / match - Colorado Rapids
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colorado Rapids - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Houston Dynamo | Liga | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 - 1 Colorado Rapids. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The MLS match finished Houston Dynamo 1:0 Colorado Rapids. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
Houston Dynamo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Colorado Rapids 2.20. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Houston Dynamo's matches and 70% of Colorado Rapids's.
What form are Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids in?
Over the last 5 games Houston Dynamo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Colorado Rapids 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?
The statistical background for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.