ÍA vs Keflavík: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
ÍA vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍA play Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 24 October 2026.
Current form
ÍA: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Keflavík: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍA scores 1.92 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.50 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍA 77%, Keflavík 77%. Over 2.5: ÍA 73%, Keflavík 69%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
ÍA has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.68. ÍA: 16.1 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.2.
Match halves
ÍA: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.19. Keflavík: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
ÍA: 46-60 (15 goals). Keflavík: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.90 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ÍA is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - ÍA · 0.2 pts / match - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ÍA is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - ÍA · 1.5 goals / match - Keflavík
ÍA scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Keflavík scores in 92% of matches (24 of 26 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍA
Over / Under - Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍA is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - ÍA · 1.23 pts / match - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍA
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.88 | 3.90 | ▼ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 15% | ▲ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): ÍA 0 - 0 - 2 Keflavík. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do ÍA and Keflavík play?
ÍA face Keflavík on 24 October 2026 in Úrvalsdeild. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍA and Keflavík?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches ÍA won 0, Keflavík won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs Keflavík?
ÍA score 1.92 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 77% of ÍA's matches and 77% of Keflavík's.
What form are ÍA and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Keflavík 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs Keflavík?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.