ÍA vs Stjarnan: match statistics
ÍA vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ÍA played Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
ÍA: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Stjarnan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
ÍA scores 1.40 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Stjarnan scores 1.87 and concedes 2.40. League average: 4.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ÍA 67%, Stjarnan 87%. Over 2.5: ÍA 67%, Stjarnan 87%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.68. ÍA: 14.7 shots per match, Stjarnan: 15.0.
Match halves
ÍA: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.93. Stjarnan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
ÍA: 46-60 (8 goals). Stjarnan: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.07 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stjarnan are the favorites due to clearly better form: the visitors have a 2-2-1 record in their last 5 matches (1.6 pts per game), while ÍA have lost all 5 recent games and have 0 pts in that period. Offensively Stjarnan scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per game) and have 28 goals this season, versus ÍA’s 8 in the last 5 and 21 for the season; additionally Stjarnan’s conversion rate is 12% compared to 7% for the hosts, with average on-target shots 5.14 vs 4.33. In terms of chance quality, xG per match is close — hosts 1.64 xG vs visitors 1.60 xG — which suggests a similar quantity of chances, but Stjarnan converts them better; season-long xG against is 1.44 for ÍA and 1.97 for Stjarnan. Recent defensive trends, however, strongly favor the visitors — ÍA conceded 17 goals in their last 5 matches (3.4 per game), while Stjarnan conceded 11 (2.2 per game), so the hosts’ defensive line looks more fractured despite a slightly better season xG against. For these reasons I forecast a Stjarnan win; a 2 is the most likely outcome, although given the high recent conceded-goal averages for both teams several goals can be expected in the match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show very high seasonal BTTS rates: ÍA 88% and Stjarnan 86%, and in the last 5 matches both teams are at 80%, which is a strong signal that both sides regularly score. Home side average goals scored 2.00 and conceded 2.50 per game, visitors score 1.71 and concede 2.29 — seasonal tallies 21 vs 28 goals scored and 33 vs 36 conceded indicate clear defensive issues. xG values support this direction: home xG 2.01 versus xG against visitors 1.97, and visitors xG 1.60 versus xG against home 1.94, while average shots on target 6.88 vs 5.14 and total shots 15.88 vs 14.0 suggest a high number of chances. Both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, the league BTTS rate is 74% and average goals per game 4.04, which further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering seasonal BTTS of 88% and 86%, 80% in the last 5 matches, high xG and no clean sheets, I assess BTTS "Yes" probability at about 86% (No: 14%), therefore the best pick is yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics point to a high-goal affair: ÍA xG is 2.01 versus xG against Stjarnan 1.97, yielding an estimated ÍA goals of (2.01+1.97)/2 = 1.99; similarly for Stjarnan xG 1.60 and xG against ÍA 1.94 → 1.77, totaling 3.76 expected goals. Seasonal averages confirm this offensive risk – ÍA scores 2.0 and concedes 2.5 on average, Stjarnan scores 1.71 and concedes 2.29, and both sides have BTTS rates of 88% and 86% respectively. Historical match percentages show Over1.5 at 88% for ÍA and 100% for Stjarnan (avg 94%), and Over2.5 at 88%/86% (avg 87%), which together with the 3.76 expected goals provides strong support for overs. Additionally, ÍA has conceded 17 goals in the last 5 matches (3.4 per game) and lost all those fixtures, while Stjarnan scored 10 goals in the last 5, increasing the likelihood of further goals. Therefore I recommend a play on Over 1.5 (strongest signal): I assign 94% for Over1.5 (Under 6%), 87% for Over2.5 (Under 13%) and 73% for Over3.5 (Under 27%), with expected goals 1.99 for ÍA and 1.77 for Stjarnan.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
ÍA led at the break in 3 matches, i.e. in 38% of games, compared to just 1 lead for Stjarnan (14%); the average first-half goals are 1.25 for ÍA and 0.86 for Stjarnan. However, after the break ÍA concedes on average 1.5 goals, while Stjarnan concedes only 0.86, which increases the risk of a turnaround. Form confirms this trend: ÍA have lost all of their last 5 matches (form_l5 'lllll', 100% defeats), whereas Stjarnan in their last 5 have 40% wins and 40% draws ('wdwdl'). Considering ÍA’s seasonal 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded, and the fact that the visitors earn more points in second halves (in the last 5 matches on average 1.2 points for the away team versus 0.2 for the home team), the strongest signal is the scenario of ÍA leading at half-time and Stjarnan winning at full-time (1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ÍA | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - ÍA · 1.87 goals / match - Stjarnan
ÍA is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - ÍA · 2.4 goals / match - Stjarnan
ÍA scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
Stjarnan scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ÍA
Over / Under - Stjarnan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍA is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - ÍA · 1.13 pts / match - Stjarnan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ÍA
Stjarnan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| ÍA | Liga | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.60 | 4.07 | ▲ 4.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 87% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 83% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): ÍA 1 - 0 - 2 Stjarnan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ÍA vs Stjarnan?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished ÍA 5:1 Stjarnan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ÍA and Stjarnan?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches ÍA won 1, Stjarnan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ÍA vs Stjarnan?
ÍA score 1.40 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 1.87. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 67% of ÍA's matches and 87% of Stjarnan's.
What form are ÍA and Stjarnan in?
Over the last 5 games ÍA have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Stjarnan 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ÍA vs Stjarnan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for ÍA vs Stjarnan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.