Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: match statistics
Ikorodu City vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ikorodu City played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Enyimba International Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Ikorodu City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kwara United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ikorodu City scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Kwara United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ikorodu City 43%, Kwara United 43%. Over 2.5: Ikorodu City 43%, Kwara United 57%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Ikorodu City has higher xG: 1.48 vs 0.57. Ikorodu City: 7.4 shots per match, Kwara United: -0.3.
Match halves
Ikorodu City: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Kwara United: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ikorodu City: 16-30 (2 goals). Kwara United: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ikorodu City are the favourites at home: they have won 2 of their 3 home matches and remain unbeaten, while Kwara United have lost all 3 of their away games. The hosts average 1.67 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded at home, while the visitors have yet to score a single goal on the road. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the xG figures: 1.55 for Ikorodu City at home compared with 0.57 for Kwara United away. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches overall, compared with just 1 win for the hosts, but their run of 3 consecutive away defeats weighs against them turning things around in this fixture.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Kwara United’s away matches: they average 0 goals scored, have failed to score in 100% of these games, and their average xG is just 0.57. Ikorodu City average 2.25 goals at home, suggesting the away side are more likely to fail to score than the match is to end goalless. However, Kwara have averaged 1.6 goals across their last 5 matches overall, so BTTS - Yes cannot be ruled out. Even so, both teams scored in only 40% of Kwara’s matches and 20% of Ikorodu’s matches over the same period, making BTTS - No the stronger pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ikorodu City average 2.25 goals scored at home, but have managed just 0.6 goals per game across their last 5 matches, weakening the case for a high-scoring game. Kwara United have yet to score away from home, with an average xG of 0.57, so a significant contribution from the visitors to the total goals is difficult to expect. Signals around the lower goal lines are mixed: all of Ikorodu City's home matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, while none of Kwara United's away matches have gone Over 1.5 goals. The 3.5 line offers a greater margin for this uncertainty: 75% of the hosts' home matches and 100% of the visitors' away matches finished Under it, with the forecast pointing to 2.25 goals in total.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time followed by an Ikorodu City win at full-time. In their last five matches across all venues, the hosts were level at the break three times and Kwara United twice, making a closely contested first half a realistic prospect. The case for a later turnaround is supported by the hosts’ home record: an average of 2.25 goals scored per match and a 75% win rate, compared with the visitors’ 0 goals and 0% win rate away from home. Ikorodu City averaged 1.75 goals after half-time and won the second half in 100% of their home matches, while Kwara United failed to score after the break in any of their away matches. Confidence in the pick is tempered by form across all venues in the last five matches: the visitors averaged 1.6 goals, while the hosts averaged 0.6, so X/1 has the highest probability, though it is not an overwhelmingly likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ikorodu City | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 0% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 1.8 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kwara United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Ikorodu City · 1.29 goals / match - Kwara United
Ikorodu City scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Kwara United scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Ikorodu City · 0.71 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ikorodu City
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Ikorodu City | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 41% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ikorodu City 1 - 1 - 0 Kwara United. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Ikorodu City 2:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ikorodu City and Kwara United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ikorodu City won 1, Kwara United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
Ikorodu City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Kwara United 1.29. The NPFL average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ikorodu City's matches and 43% of Kwara United's.
What form are Ikorodu City and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Ikorodu City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kwara United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ikorodu City vs Kwara United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.