Ilioupoli vs Egaleo: match statistics
Ilioupoli vs Egaleo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilioupoli played Egaleo in Super League 2 (Greece). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ilioupoli: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Egaleo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilioupoli scores 0.63 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Egaleo scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilioupoli 33%, Egaleo 37%. Over 2.5: Ilioupoli 26%, Egaleo 37%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Egaleo has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.14. Ilioupoli: 2.3 shots per match, Egaleo: 3.6.
Match halves
Ilioupoli: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.37. Egaleo: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Ilioupoli: 76-90+ (4 goals). Egaleo: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League 2: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): Egaleo are in superior form, scoring 8 goals and recording 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, whereas Ilioupoli have scored only 1 goal and have 0 wins in that period (0-1-4). Ilioupoli’s home output is just 0.46 goals per game while conceding 1.46, with a home goal difference of -13 and a striking 77% home loss rate. The visitors average 0.92 goals scored and 1.38 conceded on the road, correlating with an average of 2.0 points per game over their last five away fixtures. Although the hosts’ home xG is 1.03 versus the visitors’ 0.86 away xG, Ilioupoli convert those chances far less efficiently (0.46 actual goals) and have 54% of matches without scoring compared to 38% for Egaleo. Therefore I assess the probabilities as 65% for an away win, 25% for a draw and 10% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ilioupoli at home features BTTS only in 14% of matches and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games, while Egaleo records BTTS at 62% on the season and averages 0.92 goals per match. In the last 5 matches Ilioupoli scored a total of 1 goal (avg. 0.2) with xG 0.0, whereas Egaleo scored 8 goals (avg. 1.6) with xG 0.85 and conceded on average 1.0 goal. Seasonal xG shows Ilioupoli generates 1.46 xG versus Egaleo’s 0.86 xG, yet the home side only convert 0.86 goals per game with a conversion rate of 11% versus 16% for the visitors, indicating poor finishing by the hosts. Additionally the league has a high clean sheet rate (69%), and the last 5 matches indicate BTTS 20% for Ilioupoli vs 60% for Egaleo, so the signal favors No Goal. Given the combination of very low home BTTS for the hosts (14%), Ilioupoli’s weak attacking form in the last 5 matches (0.2 goals; xG 0.0) and 50% clean sheets, I tip BTTS - No (70% vs 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Modeling the match based on seasonal xG and recent form, I project 1.26 goals for Ilioupoli and 1.04 for Egaleo, totaling 2.30 goals. Home team seasonal xG is 1.46 versus the visitors' 0.86, with xG against both teams around 1.48; however, Ilioupoli’s last 5 matches show a drop to 0.0 xG and an average of 0.2 goals scored, while Egaleo in their last 5 have xG 0.85 and average 1.6 goals, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. From a Poisson distribution for sum λ=2.30, the probability of Over 1.5 is about 67%, Over 2.5 about 41% and Over 3.5 about 20%. Considering seasonal over 1.5 rates (Ilioupoli 50%, Egaleo 77%) and Egaleo’s better attacking form, the strongest signal is to play Over 1.5 (67%) rather than the riskier Over 2.5 (around 41%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I pick 2/2 (Egaleo leading at half-time and winning), because Egaleo shows markedly better form over the last five matches: on average 1.6 goals and 2.0 points per game versus 0.2 goals and 0.2 points for Ilioupoli. Egaleo led at the break in 40% of their last five fixtures, while Ilioupoli did so in only 20%; season-to-date the visitors have 17 first-half goals compared to 9 for the hosts, with a first-half average of 1.31 vs 0.64. Although Ilioupoli posts higher xG (1.46 vs 0.86) and more shots (10.43 vs 5.29), their efficiency is lower (conversion 11% vs 16%) and in practice the hosts have scored only 0.2 goals in the last five matches. Additionally, Egaleo score more goals after the break in their last five games (on average 1.6 vs 0.8 for the hosts) and 62% of their matches end with both teams scoring, which increases the likelihood that the visitors will take the lead at the break, complete a turnaround and carry the win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilioupoli | Egaleo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 19% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.43 | 0.71 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Egaleo is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Ilioupoli · 2 pts / match - Egaleo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Egaleo is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Ilioupoli · 0.89 goals / match - Egaleo
Egaleo is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Ilioupoli · 1.11 goals / match - Egaleo
Ilioupoli scores in 48% of matches (13 of 27 matches), while Egaleo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
Egaleo scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Ilioupoli keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilioupoli
Over / Under - Egaleo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egaleo is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Ilioupoli · 1.22 pts / match - Egaleo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilioupoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Egaleo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilioupoli
Egaleo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League 2).
Teams vs league
| Ilioupoli | Liga | Egaleo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.25 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 38% | • 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- EgaleoGoalAleksandr Šapovalov
- EgaleoGoalJean-Marie Ulrich N'Nomo N'Gong
- EgaleoGoalGiorgos Kosteas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ilioupoli 0 - 0 - 3 Egaleo. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilioupoli vs Egaleo?
The Super League 2 match finished Ilioupoli 1:3 Egaleo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilioupoli and Egaleo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ilioupoli won 0, Egaleo won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilioupoli vs Egaleo?
Ilioupoli score 0.63 goals per game on average and Egaleo 0.89. The Super League 2 average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ilioupoli's matches and 37% of Egaleo's.
What form are Ilioupoli and Egaleo in?
Over the last 5 games Ilioupoli have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Egaleo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilioupoli vs Egaleo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilioupoli vs Egaleo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.