Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 30 August 2026

Ilves vs HJK: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ilves vs HJK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ilves play HJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 31 August 2026.

Current form

Ilves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. HJK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ilves scores 1.57 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. HJK scores 1.62 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ilves 57%, HJK 38%. Over 2.5: Ilves 62%, HJK 57%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Ilves: 11.5 shots per match, HJK: 13.0.

Match halves

Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.67. HJK: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Ilves: 16-30 (7 goals). HJK: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 4.60, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.65)
(3.70)
(1.93)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.57Goals scored / match1.62
IlvesHJK
1.67Goals conceded / match1.24
IlvesHJK
50%Average possession54%
IlvesHJK
4.52Shots on target / match4.62
IlvesHJK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.48Shots per match13
IlvesHJK
4.52Shots on target4.62
IlvesHJK
13.7%Shot conversion12.5%
IlvesHJK
50%Possession54%
IlvesHJK
1.4xG for1.54
IlvesHJK
1.64xG against1.39
IlvesHJK

Shooting quality

Ilves: Efficient finishingHJK: Balanced
IlvesHJK
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ilves · 1.8 pts / match - HJK

Ilves
WLWLL
Season result split
33% W19% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-10
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
HJK
WLWWL
Season result split
48% W19% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-7
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Ilves · 1.24 goals / match - HJK

Ilves scoring profile: very strong

Ilves scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).

HJK scoring profile: very strong

HJK scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

33Goals scored (season)34
IlvesHJK
35Goals conceded (season)26
IlvesHJK
3.24Average goals in match2.86
IlvesHJK
5Goals scored (last 5)7
IlvesHJK
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
IlvesHJK

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal76%
IlvesHJK
48%2 goals43%
IlvesHJK
14%3 goals29%
IlvesHJK
5%4 goals10%
IlvesHJK

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal62%
IlvesHJK
52%2 goals38%
IlvesHJK
29%3 goals19%
IlvesHJK
10%4 goals5%
IlvesHJK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time19%
IlvesHJK
10%BTTS in both halves10%
IlvesHJK
29%Scored in both halves38%
IlvesHJK

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
IlvesHJK
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
IlvesHJK
20%BTTS - last 520%
IlvesHJK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
IlvesHJK
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
IlvesHJK
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
IlvesHJK

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
IlvesHJK
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
IlvesHJK
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
IlvesHJK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Ilves · 1.67 pts / match - HJK

Ilves - half-time state
38% leading29% draw33% trailing
HJK - half-time state
48% leading24% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.67
IlvesHJK
0.9Goals scored (1st half)0.76
IlvesHJK
1.05Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
IlvesHJK
1.95Average goals (1st half)1.24
IlvesHJK
48%Clean sheet before half-time62%
IlvesHJK
38%No goal before half-time33%
IlvesHJK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.48
IlvesHJK
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
IlvesHJK
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
IlvesHJK
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.62
IlvesHJK
52%Clean sheet after half-time57%
IlvesHJK
48%No goal after half-time52%
IlvesHJK

Ilves - second-half results

33% W38% R29% P
30
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding87%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - second-half results

38% W33% R29% P
35
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ilves - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match1.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.60.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.00
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+6-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ilves
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
7
5
16-30
7
10
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

HJK
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
6
7
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ilves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

IlvesLigaHJK
Average goals in match 3.242.63 2.86
Both teams scored 57%50% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%48% 57%
Clean sheets 29%28% 38%
Goal before half-time 86%76% 86%
Goal after half-time 81%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Ilves 2 - 2 - 1 HJK. Average goals 4.60, both teams scored in 100% matches.

HJK
2 : 2
Ilves
Tampereen Ilves
3 : 1
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
2 : 2
Tampereen Ilves
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
5 : 1
Tampereen Ilves
Tampereen Ilves
3 : 2
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi

FAQ

When do Ilves and HJK play?

Ilves face HJK on 31 August 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and HJK?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 2, HJK won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs HJK?

Ilves score 1.57 goals per game on average and HJK 1.62. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ilves's matches and 38% of HJK's.

What form are Ilves and HJK in?

Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and HJK 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs HJK?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs HJK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.