Ilves vs Lahti: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ilves vs Lahti: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilves play Lahti in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 12 September 2026.
Current form
Ilves: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lahti: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilves scores 1.55 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Lahti scores 1.18 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilves 59%, Lahti 41%. Over 2.5: Ilves 64%, Lahti 32%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Lahti has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.39. Ilves: 11.4 shots per match, Lahti: 12.7.
Match halves
Ilves: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. Lahti: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ilves: 16-30 (7 goals). Lahti: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lahti is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Ilves · 2 pts / match - Lahti
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Ilves · 1.18 goals / match - Lahti
Lahti is 95% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Ilves · 0.86 goals / match - Lahti
Ilves scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Lahti scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - Lahti
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lahti is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Ilves · 1.5 pts / match - Lahti
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilves
Lahti
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 46% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ilves 1 - 0 - 1 Lahti. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Ilves and Lahti play?
Ilves face Lahti on 12 September 2026 in Veikkausliiga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and Lahti?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ilves won 1, Lahti won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs Lahti?
Ilves score 1.55 goals per game on average and Lahti 1.18. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Ilves's matches and 41% of Lahti's.
What form are Ilves and Lahti in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lahti 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs Lahti?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ilves vs Lahti: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.