Ilves vs VPS: match statistics
Ilves vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ilves played VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ilves: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. VPS: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ilves scores 1.65 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. VPS scores 1.40 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ilves 60%, VPS 60%. Over 2.5: Ilves 65%, VPS 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
VPS has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Ilves: 11.4 shots per match, VPS: 12.3.
Match halves
Ilves: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.70. VPS: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Ilves: 16-30 (7 goals). VPS: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ilves have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 67% of their home matches, score an average of 1.78 goals, and concede just 0.89 goals per game. VPS win 30% of their away matches, score an average of 1.00 goal, and fail to score in 30% of those appearances. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, compared with just 20% of away matches for the visitors, further strengthening the case for an Ilves advantage. Both teams are in poor recent form, with Ilves winning 1 of their last 5 matches and VPS losing 4 of 5, while the visitors have a 6:10 goal difference over that period. VPS generate slightly higher xG away from home, 1.45 compared with Ilves' 1.26 at home, but the hosts are significantly more clinical, converting 19% of their shots into goals versus 9% for their opponents.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 60% of their matches this season, above the league average of 50%, providing a clear argument for a goal from each side. Ilves average 1.8 goals at home, while VPS, despite a lower scoring average of 1.0, generate a solid xG of 1.45, with the hosts conceding 1.30 xG. VPS have seen BTTS in 80% of their last five matches and conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game, so Ilves should have good conditions to find the net. The hosts, on the other hand, have been less clinical recently, averaging 1.0 goal, but their defence allowed 2.06 xG per match during this period, strengthening VPS’s chances of scoring. The BTTS - Yes pick is moderately strong, as both teams have also kept clean sheets in only 30% and 20% of their matches, respectively.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the teams’ season results: at least two goals were scored in 70% of Ilves’ matches and 60% of VPS’ games. Both teams scored in 80% and 70% of their respective matches, while their opponents found the net in 80% and 70% of cases, respectively. VPS conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings, while Ilves allowed opponents an average xG of 2.06, which clearly increases the visitors’ chances of scoring. At the same time, the projected 1.40 goals for Ilves and 1.25 for VPS produces a total of 2.65 goals, making Over 1.5 significantly safer than the more demanding 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ilves have the clearer first-half profile: they led at the break in 50% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding just 0.5, while VPS scored only 0.5 goals before half-time. VPS were level at the break in 50% of their league matches, but in their last five appearances they were trailing at half-time four times, conceding an average of 1.6 goals before the interval during that span. The hosts are also stronger over the full match, averaging 1.8 goals compared with VPS’s 1.0, while their shot conversion rate stands at 13% versus 9% for their opponents. Ilves create slightly better chances, with an average xG of 1.57 compared with 1.45, while VPS have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches. Ilves’s weaker recent form, with just one win in their last five games, increases the risk of a draw or a turnaround, but the scenario in which the hosts lead at the break and go on to win remains the strongest HT/FT option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ilves | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ilves is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ilves · 0.6 pts / match - VPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Ilves · 1.4 goals / match - VPS
VPS is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Ilves · 1.05 goals / match - VPS
Ilves scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
VPS scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ilves
Over / Under - VPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Ilves · 1.4 pts / match - VPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ilves
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Ilves | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.35 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ilves 1 - 0 - 2 VPS. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ilves vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Ilves 0:1 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilves and VPS?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ilves won 1, VPS won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ilves vs VPS?
Ilves score 1.65 goals per game on average and VPS 1.40. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ilves's matches and 60% of VPS's.
What form are Ilves and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games Ilves have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and VPS 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ilves vs VPS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.