El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónData current as of 19 October 2026

INCA-Aruba vs Inter: match statistics

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INCA-Aruba vs Inter: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

INCA-Aruba play Inter in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 24 October 2026.

Current form

INCA-Aruba: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Inter: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

INCA-Aruba scores 0.81 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Inter scores 1.38 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: INCA-Aruba 56%, Inter 50%. Over 2.5: INCA-Aruba 44%, Inter 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Inter has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.29. INCA-Aruba: 8.4 shots per match, Inter: 7.2.

Match halves

INCA-Aruba: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.56. Inter: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.94.

Goals by minute

INCA-Aruba: 76-90+ (5 goals). Inter: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Salvadoran Primera División: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.81Goals scored / match1.38
INCA-ArubaInter
1.81Goals conceded / match1
INCA-ArubaInter
44%Average possession55%
INCA-ArubaInter
3.75Shots on target / match4.06
INCA-ArubaInter

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.38Shots per match7.19
INCA-ArubaInter
3.75Shots on target4.06
INCA-ArubaInter
9.7%Shot conversion19.1%
INCA-ArubaInter
44%Possession55%
INCA-ArubaInter
1.29xG for1.42
INCA-ArubaInter
1.84xG against1.46
INCA-ArubaInter

Shooting quality

INCA-Aruba: BalancedInter: Efficient finishing
INCA-ArubaInter
Accuracy (shots on target)45%56%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

INCA-Aruba is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 0.6 pts / match - Inter

INCA-Aruba
DWDLL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-8
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Inter
DLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W50% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-3
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inter is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

0.81 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.38 goals / match - Inter

Inter is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.81 goals / match - INCA-Aruba · 1 goals / match - Inter

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: strong

INCA-Aruba scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Inter keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).

Inter scoring profile: very strong

Inter scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

13Goals scored (season)22
INCA-ArubaInter
29Goals conceded (season)16
INCA-ArubaInter
2.63Average goals in match2.38
INCA-ArubaInter
5Goals scored (last 5)6
INCA-ArubaInter
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
INCA-ArubaInter

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal75%
INCA-ArubaInter
13%2 goals44%
INCA-ArubaInter
0%3 goals13%
INCA-ArubaInter
0%4 goals6%
INCA-ArubaInter

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal56%
INCA-ArubaInter
50%2 goals38%
INCA-ArubaInter
31%3 goals6%
INCA-ArubaInter
19%4 goals0%
INCA-ArubaInter

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time19%
INCA-ArubaInter
0%BTTS in both halves0%
INCA-ArubaInter
0%Scored in both halves25%
INCA-ArubaInter

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
INCA-ArubaInter
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
INCA-ArubaInter
80%BTTS - last 5100%
INCA-ArubaInter

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
INCA-ArubaInter
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
INCA-ArubaInter
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
INCA-ArubaInter

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
INCA-ArubaInter
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
INCA-ArubaInter
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
INCA-ArubaInter

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inter is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.69 pts / match - INCA-Aruba · 1.25 pts / match - Inter

INCA-Aruba - half-time state
13% leading31% draw56% trailing
Inter - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.69Points per match (1st half)1.25
INCA-ArubaInter
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.44
INCA-ArubaInter
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
INCA-ArubaInter
1.13Average goals (1st half)1
INCA-ArubaInter
38%Clean sheet before half-time69%
INCA-ArubaInter
81%No goal before half-time56%
INCA-ArubaInter

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1.69
INCA-ArubaInter
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
INCA-ArubaInter
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
INCA-ArubaInter
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.38
INCA-ArubaInter
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
INCA-ArubaInter
50%No goal after half-time44%
INCA-ArubaInter

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

25% W31% D44% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding192%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inter - second-half results

44% W38% D19% L
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

INCA-Aruba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.60.2
Average goals in match2.20.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inter - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
9
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Inter
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
0
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
7
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Inter

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

INCA-ArubaLigaInter
Average goals in match• 2.632.68▼ 2.38
Both teams scored• 56%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 44%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 19%28%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time• 69%68%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▼ 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: INCA-Aruba 0 - 0 - 1 Inter. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do INCA-Aruba and Inter play?

INCA-Aruba face Inter on 24 October 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before INCA-Aruba vs Inter?

INCA-Aruba score 0.81 goals per game on average and Inter 1.38. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of INCA-Aruba's matches and 50% of Inter's.

What form are INCA-Aruba and Inter in?

Over the last 5 games INCA-Aruba have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inter 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for INCA-Aruba vs Inter?

The statistical background for INCA-Aruba vs Inter — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.