South Korea - K League 1Sungui Arena ParkData current as of 20 October 2026

Incheon United vs Jeju United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Incheon United vs Jeju United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Incheon United play Jeju United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Sungui Arena Park.

Current form

Incheon United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Jeju United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Incheon United scores 1.25 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Jeju United scores 1.19 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Incheon United 56%, Jeju United 56%. Over 2.5: Incheon United 47%, Jeju United 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Jeju United has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.39. Incheon United: 10.6 shots per match, Jeju United: 12.6.

Match halves

Incheon United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.53. Jeju United: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Incheon United: 31-45+ (15 goals). Jeju United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.35)
(3.13)
(3.09)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.25Goals scored / match1.19
Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.06Goals conceded / match1.06
Incheon UnitedJeju United
52%Average possession46%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
3.75Shots on target / match4.16
Incheon UnitedJeju United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.59Shots per match12.56
Incheon UnitedJeju United
3.75Shots on target4.16
Incheon UnitedJeju United
11.8%Shot conversion9.5%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
52%Possession46%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.39xG for1.5
Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.31xG against1.47
Incheon UnitedJeju United

Shooting quality

Incheon United: BalancedJeju United: Balanced
Incheon UnitedJeju United
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Jeju United is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Incheon United · 1.4 pts / match - Jeju United

Incheon United
LDDWD
Season result split
34% W31% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-11
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Jeju United
WDWLL
Season result split
38% W31% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-10
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Incheon United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Incheon United · 1.19 goals / match - Jeju United

Incheon United scoring profile: strong

Incheon United scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Jeju United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).

Jeju United scoring profile: very strong

Jeju United scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).

40Goals scored (season)38
Incheon UnitedJeju United
34Goals conceded (season)34
Incheon UnitedJeju United
2.31Average goals in match2.25
Incheon UnitedJeju United
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Incheon UnitedJeju United
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Incheon UnitedJeju United

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal78%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
31%2 goals31%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
13%3 goals9%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
3%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal66%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
25%2 goals34%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
9%3 goals6%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
0%4 goals0%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time16%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
22%Scored in both halves22%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
60%BTTS - last 560%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jeju United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - Incheon United · 1.44 pts / match - Jeju United

Incheon United - half-time state
25% leading59% draw16% trailing
Jeju United - half-time state
31% leading50% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.44
Incheon UnitedJeju United
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.53
Incheon UnitedJeju United
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.16Average goals (1st half)0.94
Incheon UnitedJeju United
59%Clean sheet before half-time66%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
50%No goal before half-time56%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per match (2nd half)1.28
Incheon UnitedJeju United
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
Incheon UnitedJeju United
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.66
Incheon UnitedJeju United
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.31
Incheon UnitedJeju United
53%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Incheon UnitedJeju United
50%No goal after half-time44%
Incheon UnitedJeju United

Incheon United - second-half results

28% W38% D34% L
43
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding136%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jeju United - second-half results

28% W44% D28% L
46
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Jeju United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
6
1
16-30
15
9
31-45
3
7
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Jeju United
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
7
3
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
9
46-60
6
5
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.28
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Jeju United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

Incheon UnitedLigaJeju United
Average goals in match▼ 2.312.49▼ 2.25
Both teams scored▲ 56%54%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 47%46%▼ 44%
Clean sheets• 28%29%▲ 34%
Goal before half-time▲ 66%62%• 63%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▼ 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Incheon United 1 - 1 - 0 Jeju United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Incheon United and Jeju United play?

Incheon United face Jeju United on 24 October 2026 in K League 1 at Sungui Arena Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Incheon United and Jeju United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Incheon United won 1, Jeju United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Incheon United score 1.25 goals per game on average and Jeju United 1.19. The K League 1 average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Incheon United's matches and 56% of Jeju United's.

What form are Incheon United and Jeju United in?

Over the last 5 games Incheon United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Jeju United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Incheon United vs Jeju United?

The statistical background for Incheon United vs Jeju United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.