Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga: match statistics
Atlético Bucaramanga is showing impressive away form with a series of three consecutive draws and a zero percent loss rate away this season. Independiente Medellín has not won any home match this season, recording a 67% draw rate in home games. The hosts have an advantage in creating chances (xG 2.09 vs 1.16), but their finishing inefficiency (6% conversion rate) and lack of clean sheets at home are significant problems. Bucaramanga is characterized by a solid defense away, conceding on average only 1 goal per match and maintaining a 33% clean sheet rate. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and the fact that Bucaramanga has not yet lost any away match, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts have a chance to break through due to their ball possession dominance and higher number of shots.
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín played Atlético Bucaramanga in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Atlético Bucaramanga: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.43 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 75%, Atlético Bucaramanga 43%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 63%, Atlético Bucaramanga 43%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.32. Independiente Medellín: 15.1 shots per match, Atlético Bucaramanga: 11.9.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 46-60 (3 goals). Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Bucaramanga is showing impressive away form with a series of three consecutive draws and a zero percent loss rate away this season. Independiente Medellín has not won any home match this season, recording a 67% draw rate in home games. The hosts have an advantage in creating chances (xG 2.09 vs 1.16), but their finishing inefficiency (6% conversion rate) and lack of clean sheets at home are significant problems. Bucaramanga is characterized by a solid defense away, conceding on average only 1 goal per match and maintaining a 33% clean sheet rate. Considering both teams' tendency to draw and the fact that Bucaramanga has not yet lost any away match, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the hosts have a chance to break through due to their ball possession dominance and higher number of shots.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.43 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.57 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellín scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Atlético Bucaramanga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Bucaramanga is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.14 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Atlético Bucaramanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Atlético Bucaramanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínYellow cardMarlon Andres Balanta Cordoba
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Independiente Medellín 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Bucaramanga. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 1:2 Atlético Bucaramanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Bucaramanga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Medellín score 1.25 goals per game on average and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.43. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 43% of Atlético Bucaramanga's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Atlético Bucaramanga in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Bucaramanga 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.