Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of 23 July 2026

Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Independiente Medellín play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 25 July 2026 at 23:05. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Current form

Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente Medellín 68%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 58%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Independiente Medellín: 14.6 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.

Match halves

Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(3.50)
(4.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.37Goals scored / match1.38
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.26Goals conceded / match1.33
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
53%Average possession51%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
4.84Shots on target / match3.86
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.63Shots per match12
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
4.84Shots on target3.86
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
9.4%Shot conversion11.5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
53%Possession51%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.53xG for1.3
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.06xG against1.27
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

Shooting quality

Independiente Medellín: AttackingDeportivo Pasto: Balanced
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente Medellín is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto

Independiente Medellín
LWWWL
Season result split
37% W26% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-7
1.37 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Pasto
WLLLL
Season result split
48% W19% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-7
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente Medellín is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto

Independiente Medellín scoring profile: very strong

Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

Deportivo Pasto scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

26Goals scored (season)29
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
24Goals conceded (season)28
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
2.63Average goals in match2.71
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal76%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
42%2 goals48%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
5%3 goals14%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0%4 goals0%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal67%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
42%2 goals43%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
11%3 goals14%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0%4 goals10%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

68%
Independiente Medellín - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 19 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time19%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
11%Scored in both halves33%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
40%BTTS - last 560%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Pasto is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto

Independiente Medellín - half-time state
16% leading37% draw47% trailing
Deportivo Pasto - half-time state
38% leading38% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.84Points per match (1st half)1.52
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.62
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.14
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
42%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
68%No goal before half-time48%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.68Points per match (2nd half)1.24
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
1.37Average goals (2nd half)1.57
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
63%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto
32%No goal after half-time43%
Independiente MedellínDeportivo Pasto

Independiente Medellín - second-half results

42% W42% R16% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding231%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Deportivo Pasto - second-half results

24% W52% R24% P
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente Medellín - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Deportivo Pasto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente Medellín
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
2
8
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Pasto
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
6
6
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
7
61-75
11
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente Medellín

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Deportivo Pasto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Independiente MedellínLigaDeportivo Pasto
Average goals in match 2.632.53 2.71
Both teams scored 68%53% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%48% 52%
Clean sheets 26%27% 33%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 76%
Goal after half-time 79%78% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+64%
Home attack advantage
+39%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Independiente Medellín 2 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Deportivo Pasto
1 : 0
Independiente Medellín
AD Pasto
1 : 2
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Independiente Medellín
1 : 0
AD Pasto

FAQ

When do Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Pasto play?

Independiente Medellín face Deportivo Pasto on 25 July 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Pasto?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 2, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto?

Independiente Medellín score 1.37 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.

What form are Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Pasto in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.