Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe: match statistics
Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente Medellín played Santa Fe in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 6 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Independiente Medellín: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Santa Fe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente Medellín scores 1.50 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Santa Fe scores 1.56 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente Medellín 67%, Santa Fe 71%. Over 2.5: Independiente Medellín 63%, Santa Fe 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.42. Independiente Medellín: 14.6 shots per match, Santa Fe: 13.0.
Match halves
Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.87. Santa Fe: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Independiente Medellín: 46-60 (10 goals). Santa Fe: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Medellín win 50% of their home matches and score an average of 1.56 goals in them, while Santa Fe win 31% of their away games. The hosts create more chances: their average home xG is 1.75, compared with Santa Fe’s 1.31 away, although the visitors are more clinical in front of goal (11% conversion rate versus 10%). Santa Fe’s strengths include a solid away defence, conceding an average of 1.13 goals, and a better record over their last five matches: 2 wins compared with Medellín’s 1. However, the hosts conceded 9 goals during that period, against 6 for the visitors, so their advantage is not decisive. With 50% of Santa Fe’s away matches ending in a draw, a share of the points remains a significant possibility, but Medellín’s edge in chance creation favours the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: this has been the case in 61% of Independiente Medellín’s matches and 81% of Santa Fe’s matches this season, compared with 55% across the league. The hosts average 1.78 goals scored per match, while the visitors average 1.31. Santa Fe also keep a clean sheet in just 13% of their matches, strengthening the case for a Medellín goal. The visitors’ chances are supported by the fact that the hosts have conceded an average of 1.8 goals over their last five matches, while Santa Fe have scored 1.4 goals per game over the same period. The teams’ average xG across their last five matches—1.53 for Medellín and 1.55 for Santa Fe—also points to attacking potential on both sides, making BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 78% of Independiente Medellín matches and 81% of Santa Fe matches. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals, while the visitors concede 1.13; additionally, the hosts' xG stands at 1.53, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.62 xG. Santa Fe score an average of 1.31 goals, and Independiente Medellín have conceded 1.8 goals per match across their last five games, increasing the likelihood of the visitors getting on the scoresheet as well. The Over 2.5 goals line offers a weaker signal, having been cleared in 56% of the hosts' matches and just 44% of the visitors' matches, so Over 1.5 goals is the safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Santa Fe were level at the break in 69% of their matches, compared with 39% for Independiente Medellín. The hosts have not led at half-time in any of their last five matches, so 1/1 has less support than X/1. After the break, however, the season-long advantage belongs to Medellín: they won the second half in 56% of matches, compared with 31% for Santa Fe, and scored an average of 1.06 goals in those halves, while Santa Fe conceded 0.88 on average. Medellín’s average xG of 1.53, alongside the 1.62 xG Santa Fe concede, and their 44% win rate compared with the visitors’ 31% also support a home win at full-time. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Santa Fe have drawn 50% of their matches, making X/X a close alternative. However, X/1 best combines the tendency for a first-half draw with the hosts’ advantage after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente Medellín | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Santa Fe is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 2 pts / match - Santa Fe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Fe is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.06 goals / match - Santa Fe
Independiente Medellín scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Santa Fe scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
Over / Under - Santa Fe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Fe is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Independiente Medellín · 1.5 pts / match - Santa Fe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Independiente Medellín | Liga | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.57 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Carlos Alberto Lucumi GonzálezOff: Yony Alexander González Copete
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: Nivaldo Yunior Erazo HernandezOff: John Edwin Montaño Preciado
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Independiente Medellín 1 - 2 - 2 Santa Fe. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Independiente Medellín 0:1 Santa Fe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente Medellín and Santa Fe?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 1, Santa Fe won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
Independiente Medellín score 1.50 goals per game on average and Santa Fe 1.56. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Independiente Medellín's matches and 71% of Santa Fe's.
What form are Independiente Medellín and Santa Fe in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente Medellín have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Santa Fe 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe?
The statistical background for Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.