Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Santa Fe at home displays a high draw rate (60% Draw%), not losing any home match without scoring (0% FTS%), although their recent form is mixed (1-2-2). Independiente Medellín shows better overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches) and a higher PPG (2.0 vs 1.0), yet their away results are more unpredictable (33% Win%, 33% Draw%, 33% Loss%). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+0 GD), and the average xG suggests a slight advantage for the hosts (1.57 vs 1.12). Considering Santa Fe's strong tendency for draws at home and the balanced disposition of both sides, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight statistical edge in home matches gives them marginally higher chances of victory than the visitors.
Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Fe play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 23 March 2026 at 22:10. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Santa Fe: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Fe scores 1.52 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Fe 74%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Santa Fe 48%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. Santa Fe: 13.1 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Santa Fe: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.91. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Santa Fe: 76-90+ (10 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 75%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams. Santa Fe at home displays a high draw rate (60% Draw%), not losing any home match without scoring (0% FTS%), although their recent form is mixed (1-2-2). Independiente Medellín shows better overall form (3 wins in the last 5 matches) and a higher PPG (2.0 vs 1.0), yet their away results are more unpredictable (33% Win%, 33% Draw%, 33% Loss%). Both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (+0 GD), and the average xG suggests a slight advantage for the hosts (1.57 vs 1.12). Considering Santa Fe's strong tendency for draws at home and the balanced disposition of both sides, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight statistical edge in home matches gives them marginally higher chances of victory than the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Fe is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - Santa Fe · 1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Santa Fe · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Santa Fe scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Santa Fe
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Santa Fe is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Santa Fe · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Santa Fe 1 - 2 - 1 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 2:1 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1, Independiente Medellín won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
Santa Fe score 1.52 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Santa Fe's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.