Argentina - Primera DivisiónData current as of 12 September 2026

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Independiente vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Independiente play San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 13 September 2026.

Current form

Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Lorenzo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. San Lorenzo scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Independiente 71%, San Lorenzo 41%. Over 2.5: Independiente 41%, San Lorenzo 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.24. Independiente: 12.7 shots per match, San Lorenzo: 10.1.

Match halves

Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. San Lorenzo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.09)
(2.94)
(4.22)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.47Goals scored / match0.94
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.35Goals conceded / match0.94
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Average possession49%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4.06Shots on target / match3.59
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.71Shots per match10.12
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
4.06Shots on target3.59
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
11.6%Shot conversion9.3%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Possession49%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.48xG for1.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.27xG against1.63
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Shooting quality

Independiente: BalancedSan Lorenzo: Balanced
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Independiente · 1.2 pts / match - San Lorenzo

Independiente
DWLWL
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
San Lorenzo
DDWLD
Season result split
29% W47% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-4
1.35 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-1
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 2.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Independiente · 0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Independiente · 0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo

Independiente scoring profile: strong

Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).

San Lorenzo scoring profile: very strong

San Lorenzo scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)16
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
23Goals conceded (season)16
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
2.82Average goals in match1.88
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
7Goals scored (last 5)4
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal71%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
35%2 goals24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
12%3 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%4 goals0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal47%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
35%2 goals24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%3 goals12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%4 goals6%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

41%BTTS at half-time0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
6%BTTS in both halves0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Scored in both halves12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
80%BTTS - last 540%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time12%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Independiente · 1.18 pts / match - San Lorenzo

Independiente - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
San Lorenzo - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.18
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.35Average goals (1st half)0.65
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
47%Clean sheet before half-time71%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
41%No goal before half-time76%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)1.53
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.24
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
53%Clean sheet after half-time65%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo
47%No goal after half-time41%
IndependienteSan Lorenzo

Independiente - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

San Lorenzo - second-half results

35% W47% D18% L
20
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
San Lorenzo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Independiente
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
4
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

San Lorenzo
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Independiente

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

San Lorenzo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

IndependienteLigaSan Lorenzo
Average goals in match 2.822.08 1.88
Both teams scored 71%45% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%34% 24%
Clean sheets 24%34% 53%
Goal before half-time 71%61% 53%
Goal after half-time 76%71% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
0.90
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Independiente 2 - 1 - 1 San Lorenzo. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 : 2
CA Independiente
CA Independiente
1 : 1
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1 : 2
CA Independiente
Independiente
1 : 2
San Lorenzo

FAQ

When do Independiente and San Lorenzo play?

Independiente face San Lorenzo on 13 September 2026 in Primera División. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and San Lorenzo?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2, San Lorenzo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

Independiente score 1.47 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.94. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Independiente's matches and 41% of San Lorenzo's.

What form are Independiente and San Lorenzo in?

Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Lorenzo 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?

The statistical background for Independiente vs San Lorenzo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.