Independiente vs San Lorenzo: match statistics
Independiente vs San Lorenzo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Independiente played San Lorenzo in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Libertadores de América. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Lorenzo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Independiente scores 1.28 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. San Lorenzo scores 0.76 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Independiente 52%, San Lorenzo 28%. Over 2.5: Independiente 36%, San Lorenzo 16%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Independiente: 12.9 shots per match, San Lorenzo: 10.9.
Match halves
Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. San Lorenzo: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Independiente: 31-45+ (8 goals). San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente have a clear attacking edge at home: they average 1.63 xG, 14.67 shots and 1.33 goals per match, while San Lorenzo score just 0.46 goals away from home. The visitors have failed to score in 62% of their away matches, and their average of 2.77 shots on target points to a limited ability to create danger. However, San Lorenzo defend very effectively, conceding only 0.62 goals per away match and keeping a clean sheet in 46% of their outings, which significantly increases the likelihood of a draw. The hosts average 55% possession and win 42% of their home matches, compared with just 15% away wins for San Lorenzo. Both teams have picked up 7 points in their last five matches, but Independiente’s edge in chance creation and their opponent’s poor away finishing support a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics clearly support BTTS - No: both teams record a low percentage of matches with goals scored by both sides—33% for Independiente and just 23% for San Lorenzo. The visitors score an average of only 0.46 goals per match, and failed to score in 62% of their league games, which is a key argument against them finding the net. San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 46% of matches and concedes just 0.62 goals per game, while Independiente averages 1.08 goals scored. The signal is even stronger across the last five matchweeks, with BTTS occurring in 20% of the hosts’ matches and 0% of the visitors’ games, while San Lorenzo scored only 2 goals during this period. Although Independiente’s xG stands at 1.59 and San Lorenzo’s at 1.01, the visitors’ low scoring efficiency and the defensive profile of both teams make a scenario in which at least one team fails to score the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly points to a low-scoring outcome: Independiente’s matches finished with fewer than 3.5 goals in 83% of cases, while the figure for San Lorenzo was 92%. The visitors score just 0.46 goals per match on average and failed to score in 62% of their games, significantly limiting their contribution to a high total. Independiente have greater attacking potential, with an xG of 1.59 compared to San Lorenzo’s 1.01, but the hosts average only 1.08 goals and have scored 4 times in their last 5 matches. In addition, 75% of the hosts’ matches and as many as 92% of the visitors’ games stayed below 2.5 goals, making Under 3.5 goals the market with the strongest statistical support while leaving a safe margin for a 2:1 result.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as San Lorenzo were level after 45 minutes in 69% of matches, compared with 42% for Independiente. The first halves should be very tight: the hosts average just 0.17 goals during this period, while the visitors average 0.15, and San Lorenzo keep a clean sheet at half-time in 85% of their matches. After the break, however, the advantage shifts to Independiente, who average 0.92 goals and win the second half in 57% of cases, while San Lorenzo score just 0.31 goals during this period. The hosts also have the higher xG, 1.59 compared with 1.01, while the visitors have failed to score in 62% of their matches overall, further supporting the scenario of a half-time draw followed by an Independiente win at the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Independiente | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Independiente · 0.76 goals / match - San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Independiente · 0.84 goals / match - San Lorenzo
Independiente scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 52% (13 of 25 matches).
San Lorenzo scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Independiente
Over / Under - San Lorenzo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Independiente · 0.96 pts / match - San Lorenzo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Independiente
San Lorenzo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Independiente | Liga | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 2.11 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 36% | 36% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Independiente 2 - 1 - 1 San Lorenzo. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
The Primera División match finished Independiente 1:1 San Lorenzo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Independiente and San Lorenzo?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2, San Lorenzo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
Independiente score 1.28 goals per game on average and San Lorenzo 0.76. The Primera División average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Independiente's matches and 28% of San Lorenzo's.
What form are Independiente and San Lorenzo in?
Over the last 5 games Independiente have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Lorenzo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
The statistical background for Independiente vs San Lorenzo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.