İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, which favors a draw. İnter Bakı shows poor home form with only 27% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5, and their last five matches have yielded only 0.6 points per game. Mil Mugan FK, despite a better away goal difference (+1), has a very high FTS% of 55%, which indicates frequent problems with scoring goals. Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (0.6 PPG) and similar xG statistics, suggesting a similar offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and the visitors' scoring problems away, the most likely result is a draw, although İnter Bakı has a slight advantage due to playing in front of their own crowd.
İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
İnter Bakı played Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
İnter Bakı: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mil Mugan FK: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
İnter Bakı scores 1.05 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.82 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: İnter Bakı 50%, Mil Mugan FK 27%. Over 2.5: İnter Bakı 50%, Mil Mugan FK 32%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
İnter Bakı has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.91. İnter Bakı: 8.1 shots per match, Mil Mugan FK: 7.2.
Match halves
İnter Bakı: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55. Mil Mugan FK: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
İnter Bakı: 61-75 (5 goals). Mil Mugan FK: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, which favors a draw. İnter Bakı shows poor home form with only 27% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5, and their last five matches have yielded only 0.6 points per game. Mil Mugan FK, despite a better away goal difference (+1), has a very high FTS% of 55%, which indicates frequent problems with scoring goals. Both teams have identical form in their last five matches (0.6 PPG) and similar xG statistics, suggesting a similar offensive potential. Considering the hosts' poor efficiency at home and the visitors' scoring problems away, the most likely result is a draw, although İnter Bakı has a slight advantage due to playing in front of their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| İnter Bakı | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İnter Bakı is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 0.6 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İnter Bakı is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 0.82 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
Mil Mugan FK is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - İnter Bakı · 1.05 goals / match - Mil Mugan FK
İnter Bakı scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
Mil Mugan FK scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while İnter Bakı keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - İnter Bakı
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İnter Bakı is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - İnter Bakı · 1.09 pts / match - Mil Mugan FK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
İnter Bakı - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
İnter Bakı
Mil Mugan FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| İnter Bakı | Liga | Mil Mugan FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): İnter Bakı 1 - 1 - 0 Mil Mugan FK. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?
The Premyer Liqası match finished İnter Bakı 0:0 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between İnter Bakı and Mil Mugan FK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches İnter Bakı won 1, Mil Mugan FK won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?
İnter Bakı score 1.05 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.82. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of İnter Bakı's matches and 27% of Mil Mugan FK's.
What form are İnter Bakı and Mil Mugan FK in?
Over the last 5 games İnter Bakı have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK?
The statistical background for İnter Bakı vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.