Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: match statistics
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Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inter Milan play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Current form
Inter Milan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inter Milan scores 3.00 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.14 and concedes 2.43. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inter Milan 71%, Fiorentina 71%. Over 2.5: Inter Milan 86%, Fiorentina 86%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Milan has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.81. Inter Milan: 21.7 shots per match, Fiorentina: 16.6.
Match halves
Inter Milan: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.86. Fiorentina: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Inter Milan: 46-60 (5 goals). Fiorentina: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inter Milan | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Milan is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.8 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Milan is 163% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Inter Milan · 1.14 goals / match - Fiorentina
Inter Milan is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Inter Milan · 2.43 goals / match - Fiorentina
Inter Milan scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Inter Milan keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inter Milan
Over / Under - Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Milan is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Inter Milan · 0.57 pts / match - Fiorentina
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inter Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inter Milan
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Inter Milan | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.29 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 60% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Inter Milan 1 - 1 - 0 Fiorentina. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Inter Milan and Fiorentina play?
Inter Milan face Fiorentina on 25 October 2026 in Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Milan and Fiorentina?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inter Milan won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
Inter Milan score 3.00 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Inter Milan's matches and 71% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Inter Milan and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Inter Milan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inter Milan vs Fiorentina?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.