Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Inverness CT vs Montrose: match statistics

Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
3 : 1half-time 1:0
Montrose crest
Montrose
170%(1.23)
X20%(5.50)
210%(9.50)

Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.

Inverness CT vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Inverness CT play Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Montrose: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.31 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Inverness CT 47%, Montrose 61%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 39%, Montrose 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.11. Inverness CT: 13.4 shots per match, Montrose: 8.6.

Match halves

Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89. Montrose: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). Montrose: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Match description

Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

68Possession (%)32
Inverness CTMontrose
17Shots3
Inverness CTMontrose
11Shots on target2
Inverness CTMontrose
2.23xG0.56
Inverness CTMontrose
5Corners4
Inverness CTMontrose
55Dangerous attacks31
Inverness CTMontrose
16Fouls10
Inverness CTMontrose
2Cards2
Inverness CTMontrose

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Inverness CTMontrose
1.67Goals scored / match1.31
Inverness CTMontrose
0.67Goals conceded / match1.83
Inverness CTMontrose
56%Average possession48%
Inverness CTMontrose
5.81Shots on target / match3.56
Inverness CTMontrose

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.39Shots per match8.64
Inverness CTMontrose
5.81Shots on target3.56
Inverness CTMontrose
12.4%Shot conversion15.1%
Inverness CTMontrose
56%Possession48%
Inverness CTMontrose
1.69xG for1.11
Inverness CTMontrose
0.81xG against1.45
Inverness CTMontrose

Shooting quality

Inverness CT: BalancedMontrose: Efficient finishing
Inverness CTMontrose
Accuracy (shots on target)43%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 1000% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT · 0.2 pts / match - Montrose

Inverness CT
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W31% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-4-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Montrose
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-8
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.31 goals / match - Montrose

Inverness CT is 173% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.83 goals / match - Montrose

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

Montrose scoring profile: strong

Montrose scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

60Goals scored (season)47
Inverness CTMontrose
24Goals conceded (season)66
Inverness CTMontrose
2.33Average goals in match3.14
Inverness CTMontrose
7Goals scored (last 5)5
Inverness CTMontrose
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
Inverness CTMontrose

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal75%
Inverness CTMontrose
44%2 goals33%
Inverness CTMontrose
22%3 goals17%
Inverness CTMontrose
8%4 goals3%
Inverness CTMontrose

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal86%
Inverness CTMontrose
14%2 goals56%
Inverness CTMontrose
3%3 goals31%
Inverness CTMontrose
0%4 goals11%
Inverness CTMontrose

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time19%
Inverness CTMontrose
3%BTTS in both halves8%
Inverness CTMontrose
33%Scored in both halves19%
Inverness CTMontrose

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Inverness CTMontrose
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Inverness CTMontrose
60%BTTS - last 560%
Inverness CTMontrose

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Inverness CTMontrose
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Inverness CTMontrose
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Inverness CTMontrose

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Inverness CTMontrose
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Inverness CTMontrose
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Inverness CTMontrose

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.14 pts / match - Montrose

Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing
Montrose - half-time state
28% leading31% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)1.14
Inverness CTMontrose
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Inverness CTMontrose
0.28Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Inverness CTMontrose
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.33
Inverness CTMontrose
75%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Inverness CTMontrose
39%No goal before half-time58%
Inverness CTMontrose

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1
Inverness CTMontrose
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Inverness CTMontrose
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
Inverness CTMontrose
1.28Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Inverness CTMontrose
67%Clean sheet after half-time28%
Inverness CTMontrose
36%No goal after half-time47%
Inverness CTMontrose

Inverness CT - second-half results

53% W25% R22% P
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Montrose - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
41
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Montrose - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
5
10
16-30
10
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
11
14
61-75
8
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.74
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Inverness CTLigaMontrose
Average goals in match 2.332.62 3.14
Both teams scored 47%50% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%49% 56%
Clean sheets 50%28% 14%
Goal before half-time 72%73% 81%
Goal after half-time 83%83% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 0 - 1 Montrose. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Montrose FC
2 : 1
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Montrose FC
Montrose FC
0 : 2
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Inverness CT vs Montrose?

The League One match finished Inverness CT 3:1 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Montrose?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Montrose won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Montrose?

Inverness CT score 1.67 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.31. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Inverness CT's matches and 61% of Montrose's.

What form are Inverness CT and Montrose in?

Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Montrose 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Montrose?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.