Inverness CT vs Montrose: match statistics
Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.
Inverness CT vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Inverness CT: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Montrose: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.69 and concedes 0.62 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.26 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 35%, Montrose 59%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 42%, Montrose 56%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.10. Inverness CT: 13.6 shots per match, Montrose: 8.5.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.92. Montrose: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). Montrose: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT demonstrates a decisive advantage as the league leader with an impressive 75% home win rate and an excellent +20 goal difference in home matches. The hosts have secured 2.2 points per match in their last five outings, showing stable form (WWDWD), while Montrose has only 1.2 points per match and poor away form (21% wins, 43% losses). Crucial is the advantage in offensive efficiency - Inverness scores an average of 2.25 goals per home match with an xG of 2.03, whereas Montrose scores only 1.29 goals away with an xG of 1.16. Additionally, the hosts boast a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.58 goals in home matches and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of games, which, given the visitors' poor efficiency (15% shot conversion), gives them a huge edge. All statistics point to a certain victory for Inverness CT, who should control the match from start to finish.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.2 pts / match - Montrose
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.26 goals / match - Montrose
Inverness CT is 174% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.62 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.7 goals / match - Montrose
Inverness CT scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Montrose scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 62% (16 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Montrose
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.19 pts / match - Montrose
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Montrose
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Inverness CT 2 - 0 - 1 Montrose. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Montrose?
The League One match finished Inverness CT 3:1 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Montrose?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 2, Montrose won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Montrose?
Inverness CT score 1.69 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.26. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Inverness CT's matches and 59% of Montrose's.
What form are Inverness CT and Montrose in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Montrose 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Montrose?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.