Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics
Inverness CT are displaying dominant home form with an impressive 82% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals per match. The hosts are the league leaders with a home goal difference of +20 and have conceded just 0.55 goals on average per home game. Stenhousemuir, despite being second in the table, show significantly weaker efficiency on the road – they fail to score in 45% of their away matches, and their average xG (1.12) is half that of the hosts (2.11). The visitors' recent form is a cause for concern – only 1 point per game in their last five matches along with two defeats. Considering Inverness's advantage in ball possession (56% vs 51%), offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity at home, a victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario for this fixture.
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Inverness CT played Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Inverness CT: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Inverness CT scores 1.79 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.38 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Inverness CT 33%, Stenhousemuir 42%. Over 2.5: Inverness CT 46%, Stenhousemuir 42%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.17. Inverness CT: 13.8 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 8.4.
Match halves
Inverness CT: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). Stenhousemuir: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT are displaying dominant home form with an impressive 82% home win rate and an average of 2.36 goals per match. The hosts are the league leaders with a home goal difference of +20 and have conceded just 0.55 goals on average per home game. Stenhousemuir, despite being second in the table, show significantly weaker efficiency on the road – they fail to score in 45% of their away matches, and their average xG (1.12) is half that of the hosts (2.11). The visitors' recent form is a cause for concern – only 1 point per game in their last five matches along with two defeats. Considering Inverness's advantage in ball possession (56% vs 51%), offensive efficiency, and defensive solidity at home, a victory for the hosts is the most likely scenario for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Inverness CT · 2.2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Inverness CT · 1.38 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.63 goals / match - Inverness CT · 0.83 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Stenhousemuir scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 63% (15 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Inverness CT
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Inverness CT · 1.46 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Inverness CT | Liga | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Inverness CT 0 - 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
The League One match finished Inverness CT 1:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Inverness CT won 0, Stenhousemuir won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Inverness CT score 1.79 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.38. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Inverness CT's matches and 42% of Stenhousemuir's.
What form are Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir in?
Over the last 5 games Inverness CT have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
The statistical background for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.