Ipswich Town vs Swansea City: match statistics
Ipswich Town displays decidedly better home form with a 63% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.88 goals per home game while conceding just 0.75, confirming their defensive solidity (44% clean sheets). Swansea City shows poor form on the road with only 25% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and a concerning rate of failing to score in 38% of matches. Furthermore, Swansea's away form is very unfavorable, evidenced by their record over the last 16 away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.85 vs 1.29), suggesting Ipswich Town has a clear advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Considering all these factors, a home victory is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
Ipswich Town vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ipswich Town played Swansea City in Championship (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Ipswich Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Swansea City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ipswich Town scores 1.75 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Swansea City scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ipswich Town 59%, Swansea City 53%. Over 2.5: Ipswich Town 53%, Swansea City 44%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Ipswich Town has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.36. Ipswich Town: 15.4 shots per match, Swansea City: 12.4.
Match halves
Ipswich Town: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.06. Swansea City: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Ipswich Town: 76-90+ (16 goals). Swansea City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ipswich Town displays decidedly better home form with a 63% win rate and an impressive +18 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.88 goals per home game while conceding just 0.75, confirming their defensive solidity (44% clean sheets). Swansea City shows poor form on the road with only 25% wins, a negative goal difference of -7, and a concerning rate of failing to score in 38% of matches. Furthermore, Swansea's away form is very unfavorable, evidenced by their record over the last 16 away fixtures. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.85 vs 1.29), suggesting Ipswich Town has a clear advantage in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Considering all these factors, a home victory is the most probable scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ipswich Town | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swansea City is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 2 pts / match - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ipswich Town is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Ipswich Town · 1.18 goals / match - Swansea City
Ipswich Town is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Ipswich Town · 1.18 goals / match - Swansea City
Ipswich Town scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Swansea City scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Ipswich Town keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ipswich Town
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ipswich Town is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Ipswich Town · 0.97 pts / match - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ipswich Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ipswich Town
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ipswich Town | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ipswich Town 1 - 0 - 0 Swansea City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ipswich Town vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Ipswich Town 3:0 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ipswich Town vs Swansea City?
Ipswich Town score 1.75 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.18. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Ipswich Town's matches and 53% of Swansea City's.
What form are Ipswich Town and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Ipswich Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Swansea City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ipswich Town vs Swansea City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.