Irtysh vs Okzhetpes: match statistics

Okzhetpes sit 4th, while Irtysh are only 14th, and the difference is also reflected in their current form: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals in the process, whereas the hosts have suffered 3 defeats and scored 6 goals. Okzhetpes are more effective away from home, averaging 1.42 goals with a 13% shot conversion rate, compared with Irtysh’s 1.09 goals and 10% conversion rate at home. The visitors rarely fail to score, doing so in just 8% of their away matches, while Irtysh have been held scoreless in 27% of their home fixtures. Irtysh may take advantage of the fact that Okzhetpes concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home and allow opponents an xG of 1.78; however, the hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 9% of their home matches. The visitors’ superior form and greater attacking consistency point to an away win, although a closely fought match with both teams scoring is also possible.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 75% of Irtysh’s matches this season and 67% of Okzhetpes’s, compared with the league average of 54%. Both sides rarely finish matches without scoring, with this scenario occurring in only 8% of their games. Irtysh average 1.67 goals, while Okzhetpes average 1.42; however, the visitors concede as many as 1.67 goals per match and have an xG against figure of 1.78. Current form also supports BTTS: Okzhetpes have averaged 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while Irtysh have conceded 1.8 goals over the same period. The hosts should create chances against a defence that has allowed 2.06 xG in its last five appearances, making goals at both ends the most likely scenario. In betting terms, BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal is the preferred selection, rather than BTTS - No.

Irtysh score an average of 1.67 goals at home, while Okzhetpes concede as many as 1.67 goals away from home, clearly supporting the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors average 1.42 goals per match, while Irtysh’s defence concedes an average of 1.00, so their offensive contribution should also be significant. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 83% of both teams’ matches, and they have scored at least once in 92% of their games. Current form further points towards goals: Okzhetpes have scored 12 times in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals, while 80% of those games finished Over 2.5 goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as it requires only two goals, with a projected total of 2.95 goals and highly consistent seasonal statistics from both teams.

Okzhetpes are clearly the stronger side based on current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 1.2, while Irtysh have lost 3 of their last 5 games, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The first half is particularly significant, as Irtysh have failed to score before the break in their last five appearances and went into half-time trailing in as many as 60% of those matches. The visitors led at the break in 40% of their recent games, scoring an average of 0.8 goals in the first half, while the hosts conceded 0.6 goals before half-time. Okzhetpes also maintain their advantage after the interval: over their last five league matches, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in the second half, and have not lost any of those halves. Therefore, the HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at the break and go on to win, X/2, is the strongest.