Irtysh vs Tobol: match statistics
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Irtysh vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Irtysh play Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Pavlodar Central Stadium.
Current form
Irtysh: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tobol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Irtysh scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.05 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Irtysh 60%, Tobol 55%. Over 2.5: Irtysh 50%, Tobol 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Tobol has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. Irtysh: 11.8 shots per match, Tobol: 13.1.
Match halves
Irtysh: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.65. Tobol: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Irtysh: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Irtysh | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Irtysh · 1.05 goals / match - Tobol
Irtysh scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Tobol scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Irtysh
Over / Under - Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Irtysh · 1.3 pts / match - Tobol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Irtysh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Irtysh
Tobol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Irtysh | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.40 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Irtysh 0 - 0 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Irtysh and Tobol play?
Irtysh face Tobol on 16 August 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Pavlodar Central Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Irtysh vs Tobol?
Irtysh score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.05. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Irtysh's matches and 55% of Tobol's.
What form are Irtysh and Tobol in?
Over the last 5 games Irtysh have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tobol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Irtysh vs Tobol?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Irtysh vs Tobol: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.