Istra 1961 vs Gorica: match statistics
Istra 1961 shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in home matches, giving them a psychological advantage. Gorica, however, performs significantly worse away from home – only 20% away wins and 50% losses, and additionally, they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The difference in average goals conceded is significant: Istra concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Gorica concedes as many as 1.5 away. The form in the last five matches is comparable for both teams (0.8 points per game), but Gorica's away goal difference (-5) is clearly negative. Considering xG statistics, where Istra has a slightly better expected goal balance at home (1.43 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against) compared to Gorica away (1.47 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against), the hosts have a real chance to secure three points. Nevertheless, Istra's high percentage of draws at home (40%) and the balanced nature of both teams suggest that a share of the points is also likely.
Istra 1961 vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Istra 1961 play Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Istra 1961: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gorica: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Istra 1961 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.11 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Istra 1961 53%, Gorica 50%. Over 2.5: Istra 1961 50%, Gorica 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Istra 1961: 10.3 shots per match, Gorica: 10.8.
Match halves
Istra 1961: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53. Gorica: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Istra 1961: 0-15 (8 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Istra 1961 shows solid form at home with 40% wins and 40% draws in home matches, giving them a psychological advantage. Gorica, however, performs significantly worse away from home – only 20% away wins and 50% losses, and additionally, they have not kept a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The difference in average goals conceded is significant: Istra concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Gorica concedes as many as 1.5 away. The form in the last five matches is comparable for both teams (0.8 points per game), but Gorica's away goal difference (-5) is clearly negative. Considering xG statistics, where Istra has a slightly better expected goal balance at home (1.43 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against) compared to Gorica away (1.47 xG For vs 1.78 xG Against), the hosts have a real chance to secure three points. Nevertheless, Istra's high percentage of draws at home (40%) and the balanced nature of both teams suggest that a share of the points is also likely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Istra 1961 | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Istra 1961 is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.2 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Istra 1961 · 1.33 goals / match - Gorica
Istra 1961 scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Istra 1961
Over / Under — Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Istra 1961 · 1.44 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Istra 1961
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Istra 1961 | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Istra 1961 1 - 0 - 2 Gorica. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Istra 1961 0:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Istra 1961 and Gorica?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Istra 1961 won 1, Gorica won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
Istra 1961 score 1.08 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.11. The Prva HNL average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Istra 1961's matches and 50% of Gorica's.
What form are Istra 1961 and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Istra 1961 have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gorica 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
The statistical background for Istra 1961 vs Gorica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.